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伊朗西南部儿童哮喘住院的地理气候风险因素。

Geoclimatic risk factors for childhood asthma hospitalization in southwest of Iran.

机构信息

Allergy Research Center, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran.

Department of Allergy and Clinical Immunology, Namazi Hospital, Shiraz, Iran.

出版信息

Pediatr Pulmonol. 2022 Sep;57(9):2023-2031. doi: 10.1002/ppul.25971. Epub 2022 Jun 20.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Asthma is a chronic respiratory disease resulting from a complex interaction between genetic and environmental factors. Among environmental factors, climatic and geographical variations have an important role in increasing asthma hospitalization. The current study aimed to investigate the effect of geoclimatic factors on the occurrence of childhood asthma hospitalization in Fars province, southwest Iran.

METHOD

We mapped the addresses of 211 hospitalized patients with childhood asthma (2016-2019) and investigated the effects of different temperature models, mean annual rainfall and humidity, number of frosty and rainy days, evaporation, slope, and land covers on the occurrence of childhood asthma hospitalization using a geographical information system. The Kriging and Spline methods have been used for generating interpolated models. Data were analyzed using logistic regression.

RESULTS

In the multivariate model, urban setting was recognized as the most important childhood asthma hospitalization predictor (p < 0.001, odds ration [OR] = 35.044, confidence interval [CI] = 9.096-135.018). The slope was considered the determinant of childhood asthma hospitalization when analyzed independently and its increase was associated with decreased childhood asthma hospitalization (p  = 0.01, OR = 0.914, CI = 0.849-0.984).

CONCLUSION

In the current study, the urban setting was the most important risk factor associated with increased childhood asthma hospitalization.

摘要

背景

哮喘是一种由遗传和环境因素复杂相互作用引起的慢性呼吸道疾病。在环境因素中,气候和地理变化在增加哮喘住院率方面起着重要作用。本研究旨在调查地理气候因素对伊朗西南部法尔斯省儿童哮喘住院的影响。

方法

我们绘制了 211 名儿童哮喘住院患者(2016-2019 年)的地址,并使用地理信息系统调查了不同温度模型、年平均降雨量和湿度、霜冻和雨天数量、蒸发量、坡度和土地覆盖物对儿童哮喘住院发生的影响。使用克里金和样条方法生成插值模型。使用逻辑回归分析数据。

结果

在多变量模型中,城市环境被认为是儿童哮喘住院的最重要预测因子(p<0.001,优势比[OR]=35.044,置信区间[CI]=9.096-135.018)。当独立分析时,坡度被认为是儿童哮喘住院的决定因素,其增加与儿童哮喘住院减少有关(p=0.01,OR=0.914,CI=0.849-0.984)。

结论

在本研究中,城市环境是与儿童哮喘住院增加相关的最重要危险因素。

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