Centre for Biodiversity and Conservation Science, The University of Queensland, St Lucia, Queensland, Australia.
School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.
Conserv Biol. 2022 Oct;36(5):e13936. doi: 10.1111/cobi.13936. Epub 2022 Aug 15.
Due to climate change, megafires are increasingly common and have sudden, extensive impacts on many species over vast areas, leaving decision makers uncertain about how best to prioritize recovery. We devised a decision-support framework to prioritize conservation actions to improve species outcomes immediately after a megafire. Complementary locations are selected to extend recovery actions across all fire-affected species' habitats. We applied our method to areas burned in the 2019-2020 Australian megafires and assessed its conservation advantages by comparing our results with outcomes of a site-richness approach (i.e., identifying areas that cost-effectively recover the most species in any one location). We found that 290 threatened species were likely severely affected and will require immediate conservation action to prevent population declines and possible extirpation. We identified 179 subregions, mostly in southeastern Australia, that are key locations to extend actions that benefit multiple species. Cost savings were over AU$300 million to reduce 95% of threats across all species. Our complementarity-based prioritization also spread postfire management actions across a wider proportion of the study area compared with the site-richness method (43% vs. 37% of the landscape managed, respectively) and put more of each species' range under management (average 90% vs. 79% of every species' habitat managed). In addition to wildfire response, our framework can be used to prioritize conservation actions that will best mitigate threats affecting species following other extreme environmental events (e.g., floods and drought).
由于气候变化,大规模火灾越来越常见,它们在广阔区域内对许多物种产生突然而广泛的影响,使得决策者不确定如何最好地优先考虑恢复工作。我们设计了一个决策支持框架,以优先考虑保护行动,在大规模火灾后立即改善物种的结果。选择补充地点将恢复行动扩展到所有受火灾影响物种的栖息地。我们将我们的方法应用于 2019-2020 年澳大利亚大规模火灾中烧毁的区域,并通过将我们的结果与丰富地点方法(即确定以最具成本效益的方式在任何一个地点恢复最多物种的区域)的结果进行比较,评估其保护优势。我们发现,290 种受威胁物种可能受到严重影响,需要立即采取保护行动,以防止种群减少和可能灭绝。我们确定了 179 个亚区,主要在澳大利亚东南部,这些地区是扩展惠及多种物种的行动的关键地点。节省的成本超过 3 亿澳元,可减少所有物种 95%的威胁。与丰富地点方法相比,我们基于互补性的优先级排序还将火灾后管理行动扩展到研究区域的更大比例(分别为 43%和 37%),并将更多的每个物种的范围纳入管理(平均为每个物种 90%和 79%的栖息地管理)。除了应对野火外,我们的框架还可以用于优先考虑保护行动,以减轻其他极端环境事件(如洪水和干旱)对物种的威胁。