Lindenmayer David B, Taylor Chris
Fenner School of Environment and Society, The Australian National University, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia
Fenner School of Environment and Society, The Australian National University, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2020 Jun 2;117(22):12481-12485. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2002269117. Epub 2020 May 18.
Extensive and recurrent severe wildfires present complex challenges for policy makers. This is highlighted by extensive wildfires around the globe, ranging from western North America and Europe to the Amazon and Arctic, and, most recently, the 2019-2020 fires in eastern Australia. In many jurisdictions, discussions after significant losses of life, property, and vegetation are sometimes conducted in the absence of nuanced debates about key aspects of climate, land, and resource management policy. Improved insights that have significant implications for policies and management can be derived from spatial and temporal analyses of fires. Here, we demonstrate the importance of such analyses using a case study of large-scale, recurrent severe wildfires over the past two decades in the Australian state of Victoria. We overlaid the location of current and past fires with ecosystem types, land use, and conservation values. Our analyses revealed 1) the large spatial extent of current fires, 2) the extensive and frequent reburning of recently and previously fire-damaged areas, 3) the magnitude of resource loss for industries such as timber and pulplog production, and 4) major impacts on high conservation value areas and biodiversity. These analyses contain evidence to support policy reforms that alter the mode of forest management, target the protection of key natural assets including unburnt areas, manage repeatedly damaged and potentially collapsed ecosystems, and expand the conservation estate. Our mapping approach should have applicability to other environments subject to large-scale fires, although the particular details of policy reforms would be jurisdiction, ecosystem, and context specific.
广泛且反复发生的严重野火给政策制定者带来了复杂的挑战。全球范围内的广泛野火凸显了这一点,从北美西部、欧洲到亚马逊和北极地区,最近还有2019 - 2020年澳大利亚东部的火灾。在许多司法管辖区,在生命、财产和植被遭受重大损失后进行的讨论,有时是在缺乏对气候、土地和资源管理政策关键方面进行细致入微辩论的情况下进行的。对火灾进行时空分析可以获得对政策和管理有重大影响的更深入见解。在此,我们通过对澳大利亚维多利亚州过去二十年大规模、反复发生的严重野火进行案例研究,证明了此类分析的重要性。我们将当前和过去火灾的位置与生态系统类型、土地利用和保护价值进行了叠加。我们的分析揭示了:1)当前火灾的大空间范围;2)近期和先前火灾受损地区广泛且频繁的再次燃烧;3)木材和纸浆原木生产等行业的资源损失规模;4)对高保护价值地区和生物多样性的重大影响。这些分析包含了支持政策改革的证据,这些改革旨在改变森林管理模式,以保护包括未燃烧地区在内的关键自然资产为目标,管理反复受损和可能崩溃的生态系统,并扩大保护区。我们的绘图方法应该适用于其他遭受大规模火灾的环境,尽管政策改革的具体细节将因司法管辖区、生态系统和具体情况而异。