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利用分位数回归分析青少年人群中空气污染与亚临床动脉粥样硬化的关系。

Quantile regression to examine the association of air pollution with subclinical atherosclerosis in an adolescent population.

机构信息

Department of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, United States; Institute for Risk Assessment Sciences, Utrecht University, The Netherlands.

Department of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, United States; Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, United States.

出版信息

Environ Int. 2022 Jun;164:107285. doi: 10.1016/j.envint.2022.107285. Epub 2022 May 10.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Air pollution has been associated with carotid intima-media thickness test (CIMT), a marker of subclinical atherosclerosis. To our knowledge, this is the first study to report an association between ambient air pollution and CIMT in a younger adolescent population.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the associations beyond standard mean regression by using quantile regression to explore if associations occur at different percentiles of the CIMT distribution.

METHODS

We measured CIMT cross-sectionally at the age of 16 years in 363 adolescents participating in the Dutch PIAMA birth cohort. We fit separate quantile regressions to examine whether the associations of annual averages of nitrogen dioxide (NO), fine particulate matter (PM), PM absorbance (a marker for black carbon), PM and ultrafine particles up to age 14 assigned at residential addresses with CIMT varied across deciles of CIMT. False discovery rate corrections (FDR, p < 0.05 for statistical significance) were applied for multiple comparisons. We report quantile regression coefficients that correspond to an average change in CIMT (µm) associated with an interquartile range increase in the exposure.

RESULTS

PM absorbance exposure at birth was statistically significantly (FDR < 0.05) associated with a 6.23 µm (95% CI: 0.15, 12.3) higher CIMT per IQR increment in PM absorbance in the 10th quantile of CIMT but was not significantly related to other deciles within the CIMT distribution. For NO exposure we found similar effect sizes to PM absorbance, but with much wider confidence intervals. PM exposure was weakly positively associated with CIMT while PM and ultrafine did not display any consistent patterns.

CONCLUSIONS

Early childhood exposure to ambient air pollution was suggestively associated with the CIMT distribution during adolescence. Since CIMT increases with age, mitigation strategies to reduce traffic-related air pollution early in life could possibly delay atherosclerosis and subsequently CVD development later in life.

摘要

背景

空气污染与颈动脉内膜中层厚度测试(CIMT)有关,CIMT 是亚临床动脉粥样硬化的标志物。据我们所知,这是第一项研究表明,在年轻的青少年人群中,环境空气污染与 CIMT 之间存在关联。

目的

通过使用分位数回归来探索 CIMT 分布的不同百分位数是否存在关联,从而超越标准均值回归来研究关联。

方法

我们在荷兰 PIAMA 出生队列中,在 363 名 16 岁的青少年中进行了 CIMT 的横断面测量。我们分别拟合分位数回归,以检查在 14 岁之前分配给居住地址的年平均二氧化氮(NO)、细颗粒物(PM)、PM 吸光度(黑碳的标志物)、PM 和超细颗粒与 CIMT 的关联是否因 CIMT 的十分位数而异。对多个比较应用了错误发现率校正(FDR,p<0.05 为统计学意义)。我们报告了与暴露量的四分位距增加相关的 CIMT 平均变化量(µm)对应的分位数回归系数。

结果

出生时的 PM 吸光率暴露与 CIMT 的第十分位数中 PM 吸光率的四分位距增加相关,每增加一个 IQR,CIMT 增加 6.23µm(95% CI:0.15,12.3)(FDR<0.05),但与 CIMT 分布的其他十分位数无显著关系。对于 NO 暴露,我们发现了与 PM 吸光率相似的效应大小,但置信区间要宽得多。PM 暴露与 CIMT 呈弱正相关,而 PM 和超细颗粒没有表现出任何一致的模式。

结论

儿童早期暴露于环境空气污染与青春期 CIMT 分布有关。由于 CIMT 随年龄增长而增加,因此在生命早期采取减少与交通有关的空气污染的缓解策略可能会延迟动脉粥样硬化的发展,并随后延迟生命后期心血管疾病的发生。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3201/9890274/81f0821be203/nihms-1868374-f0001.jpg

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