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持续的抗疫措施能否助力新冠疫情后公共交通的恢复?来自台湾的证据。

Can continued anti-epidemic measures help post-COVID-19 public transport recovery? Evidence from Taiwan.

作者信息

Hsieh Hsu-Sheng, Hsia Hao-Ching

机构信息

Institute of Public Affairs Management, National Sun Yat-sen University, Taiwan.

Program in Interdisciplinary Studies, National Sun Yat-sen University, Taiwan.

出版信息

J Transp Health. 2022 Sep;26:101392. doi: 10.1016/j.jth.2022.101392. Epub 2022 May 20.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVE

COVID-19 has transformed economic activities and travel behavior, especially for public transport use. When a pandemic ebbs, clarifying travel behavior changes and whether to continue public transport anti-epidemic measures is essential for a post-COVID-19 public transport renaissance. Therefore, this study investigated citizens' metro use behavior across the pre-, in-, and post-COVID-19 phases and post-COVID-19 mode choice in transit service and anti-epidemic policies.

METHODS

Through face-to-face interviews, 235 citizens were systematically sampled in proportion to district populations in Kaohsiung, Taiwan, as respondents to conduct analysis of variance for metro use changes and mixed logit modeling for mode choice.

RESULTS

Analysis of variance indicated an overall decrease in metro use from the pre- to in-COVID-19 phase and, for loyal-metro-user citizens, a recovery after entering the post-COVID-19 phase. Moreover, a mixed logit model illustrated that post-COVID-19 metro use was facilitated by mandatory mask wearing in the metro system, rather than transit service levels, and affected by age, number of household children, and pre-COVID-19 travel habits.

CONCLUSIONS

Continuing mandatory mask wearing within public transport in an early post-pandemic time and fostering transit use habits in non-pandemic times can help recover post-COVID-19 transit ridership. Moreover, a transit use promotion scheme may not need to target loyal users with original use before and no complete suspension after COVID-19.

摘要

引言与目的

新冠疫情改变了经济活动和出行行为,尤其是公共交通的使用情况。当疫情消退时,明确出行行为的变化以及是否继续实施公共交通防疫措施对于后新冠疫情时代公共交通的复兴至关重要。因此,本研究调查了新冠疫情前、疫情期间和疫情后市民的地铁使用行为,以及后新冠疫情时代在公共交通服务和防疫政策方面的出行方式选择。

方法

通过面对面访谈,按照台湾高雄市各区人口比例系统抽取了235名市民作为受访者,对地铁使用变化进行方差分析,并对出行方式选择进行混合逻辑回归建模。

结果

方差分析表明,从新冠疫情前到疫情期间地铁使用量总体下降,而对于长期乘坐地铁的市民来说,进入后新冠疫情阶段后有所回升。此外,混合逻辑回归模型表明,后新冠疫情时代地铁使用量的增加得益于地铁系统强制佩戴口罩,而非公共交通服务水平,且受年龄、家庭子女数量和新冠疫情前出行习惯的影响。

结论

在疫情后初期继续在公共交通内强制佩戴口罩,并在非疫情时期培养乘坐公共交通的习惯,有助于恢复后新冠疫情时代的公共交通客流量。此外,公共交通使用促进计划可能无需针对疫情前就有使用习惯且疫情期间未完全停止使用的长期用户。

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