Lang Ningning, Wang Lin, Zha Quanbo
School of Management Science and Real Estate, Chongqing University, Chongqing 400044, People's Republic of China.
R Soc Open Sci. 2022 May 18;9(5):211732. doi: 10.1098/rsos.211732. eCollection 2022 May.
The rapid development of information technology and social media has provided easy access to the vast data on individual preferences and social interactions. Despite a series of problems, such as privacy disclosure and data sensitivity, it cannot be denied that this access also provides beneficial opportunities and convenience for campaigns involving opinion control (e.g. marketing campaigns and political election). The profitability of opinion and the finiteness of individual attention have already spawned extensive competition for individual preferences on social networks. It is necessary to investigate opinion dynamics over social networks in a competitive environment. To this end, this paper develops a novel social network DeGroot model based on competition game (DGCG) to characterize opinion evolution in a competitive opinion dynamics. Social interactions based on trust relationships are captured in the DGCG model. From the model, we then obtain equilibrium results in a stable state of opinion evolution. We also analyse what role relevant factors play in the final consensus and competitive outcomes, including the resource ratio of both contestants, initial opinions, self-confidence and network structure. Theoretical analyses and numerical simulations show that these factors can significantly sway the consensus and even reverse competition outcomes.
信息技术和社交媒体的迅速发展使得人们能够轻松获取有关个人偏好和社交互动的海量数据。尽管存在一系列问题,如隐私泄露和数据敏感性,但不可否认的是,这种获取也为涉及舆论控制的活动(如营销活动和政治选举)提供了有益的机会和便利。舆论的获利性以及个人注意力的有限性已经在社交网络上引发了对个人偏好的广泛竞争。有必要研究竞争环境下社交网络中的舆论动态。为此,本文基于竞争博弈开发了一种新颖的社交网络德格鲁特模型(DGCG),以刻画竞争舆论动态中的舆论演变。DGCG模型捕捉了基于信任关系的社交互动。然后,我们从该模型中获得舆论演变稳定状态下的均衡结果。我们还分析了相关因素在最终共识和竞争结果中所起的作用,包括双方参与者的资源比例、初始意见、自信程度和网络结构。理论分析和数值模拟表明,这些因素能够显著影响共识,甚至扭转竞争结果。