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基于广义渐进混合删失方案的多分量应力-强度模型:统计分析

Multicomponent Stress-Strength Model Based on Generalized Progressive Hybrid Censoring Scheme: A Statistical Analysis.

作者信息

Ma Haijing, Yan Zaizai, Jia Junmei

机构信息

College of Science, Inner Mongolia University of Technology, Hohhot 010051, China.

出版信息

Entropy (Basel). 2022 Apr 29;24(5):619. doi: 10.3390/e24050619.

Abstract

The statistical inference of the reliability and parameters of the stress-strength model has received great attention in the field of reliability analysis. When following the generalized progressive hybrid censoring (GPHC) scheme, it is important to discuss the point estimate and interval estimate of the reliability of the multicomponent stress-strength (MSS) model, in which the stress and the strength variables are derived from different distributions by assuming that stress follows the Chen distribution and that strength follows the Gompertz distribution. In the present study, the Newton-Raphson method was adopted to derive the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of the model parameters, and the corresponding asymptotic distribution was adopted to construct the asymptotic confidence interval (ACI). Subsequently, the exact confidence interval (ECI) of the parameters was calculated. A hybrid Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method was adopted to determine the approximate Bayesian estimation (BE) of the unknown parameters and the high posterior density credible interval (HPDCI). A simulation study with the actual dataset was conducted for the BEs with squared error loss function (SELF) and the MLEs of the model parameters and reliability, comparing the bias and mean squares errors (MSE). In addition, the three interval estimates were compared in terms of the average interval length (AIL) and coverage probability (CP).

摘要

应力-强度模型的可靠性和参数的统计推断在可靠性分析领域受到了极大关注。当遵循广义渐进混合删失(GPHC)方案时,讨论多组件应力-强度(MSS)模型可靠性的点估计和区间估计很重要,其中应力和强度变量来自不同分布,假设应力服从陈分布且强度服从冈珀茨分布。在本研究中,采用牛顿-拉夫逊方法推导模型参数的最大似然估计(MLE),并采用相应的渐近分布构建渐近置信区间(ACI)。随后,计算参数的精确置信区间(ECI)。采用混合马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗(MCMC)方法确定未知参数的近似贝叶斯估计(BE)和高后验密度可信区间(HPDCI)。针对具有平方误差损失函数(SELF)的BE以及模型参数和可靠性的MLE,使用实际数据集进行了模拟研究,比较了偏差和均方误差(MSE)。此外,从平均区间长度(AIL)和覆盖概率(CP)方面比较了这三种区间估计。

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