School of Telecommunications and Information Engineering, Nanjing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Nanjing 210046, China.
School of Science, Nanjing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Nanjing 210046, China.
Comput Intell Neurosci. 2022 May 19;2022:4862772. doi: 10.1155/2022/4862772. eCollection 2022.
The ultimate purpose of portfolio investment is to reduce investment risk and improve total return on the premise of ensuring reasonable allocation of capital. In this paper, we build a quantitative model to advise on trading based on the price movement of Bitcoin and gold between 2016 and 2021; our goal is to maximize profit while minimizing risk. We mainly use greedy strategies with multiobjective optimization models. For the purpose of obtaining the correct price trend, some popular trend indicator strategies are referred to predict the future price trend in the medium and long term. In addition, we also consider people with different trading preferences and divided them into aggressive, advanced, balanced, and cautious and provided trading strategies for each of these four groups. This gives our model scalability. Finally, we analyze the sensitivity of the model and discuss the impact of trading commission costs on the model results. The model can be applicable to various investment situations.
组合投资的最终目的是在确保资本合理配置的前提下,降低投资风险,提高总回报。本文构建了一个量化模型,以 2016 年至 2021 年间比特币和黄金的价格走势为基础,提供交易建议,目标是在最小化风险的同时最大化利润。我们主要使用贪婪策略和多目标优化模型。为了获取正确的价格趋势,我们参考了一些流行的趋势指标策略,以预测中长期的未来价格趋势。此外,我们还考虑了不同交易偏好的人,并将他们分为激进型、进阶型、平衡型和谨慎型,并为这四组人提供了交易策略。这使我们的模型具有可扩展性。最后,我们分析了模型的敏感性,并讨论了交易佣金成本对模型结果的影响。该模型适用于各种投资情况。