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使用一种新的傅里叶中心小波方法分析经合组织国家 1750 年至 2019 年部门和燃料来源氨排放的收敛性。

Convergence analysis of ammonia emissions by sector and fuel source in OECD countries from 1750 to 2019 using a new Fourier-centric wavelet approach.

机构信息

School of Economics, University of Nottingham Malaysia, 43500, Semenyih, Malaysia.

Department of Economics, Hatay Mustafa Kemal University, 31060, Hatay, Turkey.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Oct;29(49):74276-74293. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-21007-1. Epub 2022 May 30.

DOI:10.1007/s11356-022-21007-1
PMID:35635667
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9149677/
Abstract

Although ammonia emissions are not as huge as carbon and methane emissions, they pose significant threats to ensuring environmental sustainability and productivity. However, the existing literature has paid less attention to the underlying characteristics of ammonia emissions. The chief target of this study is to investigate the stochastic convergence of ammonia emissions at the aggregate level, by sector, and by fuel source in 37 Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development countries for more than two centuries of data. Using a newly proposed Fourier-augmented wavelet unit root test, the empirical findings reveal that the relative ammonia emissions series in most Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development countries follow the unit root process in the aggregate, sectoral, and fuel-specific analyses. Therefore, these findings refer to the existence of divergence, while stochastic convergence does not exist in most cases. Having a divergent pattern of ammonia emissions has several policy implications for policymakers in the context of environmental sustainability. (i) Relative ammonia emission cannot revert to its steady-state path without policy intervention, (ii) policymakers have a chance of affecting the dynamics of ammonia emissions in Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development countries. (iii) As a policy response, the study recommends the pursuant of national environmental policies with consideration to the unique characteristics of the individual countries as the non-existence of convergence of environmental series could result in a diverse level of consciousness of environmental degradation among countries with divergent patterns on emissions levels.

摘要

尽管氨排放不像碳和甲烷排放那样巨大,但它们对确保环境可持续性和生产力构成了重大威胁。然而,现有文献对氨排放的基本特征关注较少。本研究的主要目标是通过使用新提出的傅里叶增强小波单位根检验,研究 37 个经合组织国家两个多世纪的数据,探讨氨排放在总体、部门和燃料来源层面的随机收敛性。实证结果表明,在大多数经合组织国家,氨排放的相对排放系列在总体、部门和燃料特定分析中都遵循单位根过程。因此,这些发现表明存在发散,而在大多数情况下不存在随机收敛。氨排放呈现发散模式,这对环境可持续性背景下的政策制定者具有若干政策意义。(i)如果没有政策干预,相对氨排放不会回到其稳定状态路径,(ii)政策制定者有机会影响经合组织国家氨排放的动态,(iii)作为政策应对,本研究建议在制定国家环境政策时考虑到各国的独特特征,因为环境序列的不存在收敛可能导致排放水平存在差异的国家对环境退化的认识程度不同。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8b84/9149677/f468f5a1e1c7/11356_2022_21007_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8b84/9149677/f468f5a1e1c7/11356_2022_21007_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8b84/9149677/f468f5a1e1c7/11356_2022_21007_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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