Programa de Pós-Graduação em Saúde e Comunidade, Universidade Federal do Piauí. Av. Frei Serafim 2280, Centro. 64000-020 Teresina PI Brasil.
Programa de Pós-Graduação em Saúde e Comunidade, Centro de Inteligência e Agravos Tropicais, Emergentes e Negligenciados. Teresina PI Brasil.
Cien Saude Colet. 2022 Jun;27(6):2363-2371. doi: 10.1590/1413-81232022276.14992021. Epub 2021 Nov 5.
This study aimed to analyze the temporal trend of sexual violence (SV) reports against adolescent women in Brazil from 2011 to 2018. An ecological time series study was performed on reports of SV against women aged 10 to 19, which were available in the National Notifiable Diseases Reporting System (SINAN). Data were collected in 2020 but are related to reports filed from 2011 to 2018. The Prais-Winsten linear regression model was applied to analyze the time trend, including a calculation of the annual percentage variation (APC) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CI). We found a significant trend increase in all Brazilian regions. Although the rates in the Northern region are higher at the beginning and at the end of the analyzed time period, the reporting rates of the Southeast (APC 14.56%; 95%CI 7.98;21.54) and the South (APC 14.19%; 95%CI 6.56;22.36) showed a greater increase. The increase of SV reports in recent years shows how vulnerable adolescent women are to this type of violence, but also indicates greater improvement of violence surveillance systems. We conclude that both reporting systems and public policies aimed at tackling SV against women need to be further developed.
本研究旨在分析巴西 2011 年至 2018 年期间针对青少年女性的性暴力（SV）报告的时间趋势。对国家法定传染病报告系统（SINAN）中 10 至 19 岁女性 SV 报告进行了生态时间序列研究。数据于 2020 年收集，但与 2011 年至 2018 年期间提交的报告有关。应用普赖斯-温斯坦线性回归模型分析时间趋势，包括计算年百分比变化（APC）和 95%置信区间（95%CI）。我们发现所有巴西地区都呈显著上升趋势。尽管在分析时间段开始和结束时北部地区的报告率较高，但东南部（APC14.56%；95%CI7.98；21.54）和南部（APC14.19%；95%CI6.56；22.36）的报告率增长更大。近年来 SV 报告的增加表明，青少年女性易受到此类暴力的影响，但也表明对暴力监测系统的改进。我们的结论是，报告系统和针对 SV 的公共政策都需要进一步发展。
