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如何克服巴西针对 2019 年冠状病毒病的第一剂疫苗覆盖率曲线停滞不前的问题?

How to overcome the stagnation of the first dose vaccine coverage curve against coronavirus disease 2019 in Brazil?

机构信息

Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.

Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Instituto de Comunicação e Informação em Ciência e Tecnologia, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.

出版信息

Rev Soc Bras Med Trop. 2022 Jun 6;55:e0722. doi: 10.1590/0037-8682-0722-2021. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

A large percentage of the population has not yet started vaccination, for which the increase in coverage is almost null.

METHODS

We used segmented regression analysis to estimate trends in the first dose coverage curve.

RESULTS

There has been a slowdown in the application of the first doses in Brazil since epidemiological week 36 (average percent change [APC] 0.83%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.75-0.91%), with a trend close to stagnation.

CONCLUSIONS

It is important to develop strategies to increase access to vaccination posts. Furthermore, it is recommended to expand vaccination to children, thereby increasing the eligible population.

摘要

背景

很大一部分人群尚未开始接种疫苗,因此覆盖率的增加几乎为零。

方法

我们使用分段回归分析来估计首剂疫苗覆盖率曲线的趋势。

结果

自第 36 周(平均百分比变化 [APC] 0.83%,95%置信区间 [CI] 0.75-0.91%)以来,巴西的首剂疫苗接种速度放缓,趋势接近停滞。

结论

开发增加疫苗接种点可及性的策略非常重要。此外,建议扩大儿童疫苗接种范围,从而增加目标人群。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/751f/9176729/8103d7f0b4ff/1678-9849-rsbmt-55-e0722-2021-gf1.jpg

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