Protein-ligand binding affinity prediction of cyclin-dependent kinase-2 inhibitors by dynamically averaged fragment molecular orbital-based interaction energy.

Fragment molecular orbital (FMO) method is a powerful computational tool for structure-based drug design, in which protein-ligand interactions can be described by the inter-fragment interaction energy (IFIE) and its pair interaction energy decomposition analysis (PIEDA). Here, we introduced a dynamically averaged (DA) FMO-based approach in which molecular dynamics simulations were used to generate multiple protein-ligand complex structures for FMO calculations. To assess this approach, we examined the correlation between the experimental binding free energies and DA-IFIEs of six CDK2 inhibitors whose net charges are zero. The correlation between the experimental binding free energies and snapshot IFIEs for X-ray crystal structures was R  = 0.75. Using the DA-IFIEs, the correlation significantly improved to 0.99. When an additional CDK2 inhibitor with net charge of -1 was added, the DA FMO-based scheme with the dispersion energies still achieved R  = 0.99, whereas R decreased to 0.32 employing all the energy terms of PIEDA.