Department of Biometry and Data Management, Leibniz Institute for Prevention Research and Epidemiology - BIPS, Bremen, Germany.
Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Leibniz Institute for Prevention Research and Epidemiology - BIPS, Bremen, Germany.
J Clin Epidemiol. 2022 Sep;149:118-126. doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2022.05.024. Epub 2022 Jun 6.
We aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of screening colonoscopy in reducing incidence of distal vs. proximal colorectal cancer (CRC) in persons aged 55-69 years.
Using observational data from a German claims database (German Pharmacoepidemiological Research Database), we emulated a target trial with two arms: Colonoscopy screening vs. no-screening at baseline. Adjusted cumulative incidence of total, distal, and proximal CRC over 11 years of follow-up was estimated in 55-69-year-olds at an average CRC risk and without colonoscopy, polypectomy, or fecal occult blood test before baseline.
Overall, 307,158 persons were included (screening arm: 198,389 and control arm: 117,399). The adjusted 11-year risk of any CRC was 1.62% in the screening group and 2.38% in the no-screening group resulting in a relative risk of 0.68 (95% CI: 0.63-0.73). The relative risk was 0.67 for distal CRC (95% CI: 0.62-0.73) and 0.70 (95% CI: 0.63-0.79) for proximal CRC. The cumulative incidence curves of the groups crossed after 6.7 (distal CRC) and 5.0 years (proximal CRC).
Our results suggest that colonoscopy is effective in preventing distal and proximal CRC. Unlike previous studies not using a target trial approach, we found no relevant difference in the effectiveness by location.
我们旨在评估筛查结肠镜检查在降低 55-69 岁人群远端与近端结直肠癌(CRC)发病率方面的效果。
使用来自德国索赔数据库(德国药物流行病学研究数据库)的观察性数据,我们模拟了一项具有两个臂的目标试验:基线时结肠镜筛查与不筛查。在平均 CRC 风险和基线前无结肠镜检查、息肉切除术或粪便潜血试验的情况下,估计 55-69 岁人群在 11 年随访期间总、远端和近端 CRC 的累积发生率。
总体而言,纳入了 307158 人(筛查组:198389 人,对照组:117399 人)。在筛查组中,11 年任何 CRC 的调整后风险为 1.62%,在不筛查组中为 2.38%,相对风险为 0.68(95%CI:0.63-0.73)。远端 CRC 的相对风险为 0.67(95%CI:0.62-0.73),近端 CRC 的相对风险为 0.70(95%CI:0.63-0.79)。两组的累积发病率曲线在 6.7 年(远端 CRC)和 5.0 年(近端 CRC)后交叉。
我们的结果表明,结肠镜检查可有效预防远端和近端 CRC。与之前未采用目标试验方法的研究不同,我们未发现位置对效果的相关差异。