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城市化与碳排放:关注手机普及在撒哈拉以南非洲国家的作用。

Urbanization and carbon emissions: looking at the role of mobile phone adoption in Sub-Saharan African countries.

机构信息

Department of Economics and Development Studies, Alex Ekwueme Federal University, Ndufu-Alike, Ebonyi State, Nigeria.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Nov;29(52):78526-78541. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-20994-5. Epub 2022 Jun 13.

DOI:10.1007/s11356-022-20994-5
PMID:35697981
Abstract

Despite the plethora of studies on urbanization-carbon dioxide emissions relationship, studies that consider the role of mobile phone adoption are limited in the ecological literature. This study relied on the stochastic impacts by regression on population, affluence and technology (STIRPAT) analytical framework for modelling environmental impacts and adopted fixed effects ordinary least squares with Driscoll and Kraay standard errors (FE-DK) and the novel method of moments quantile regression (MM-QR) estimation techniques to examine the role of mobile phone adoption in the urbanization-carbon dioxide emissions link for 21 SSA economies, spanning 1995-2017. Results of estimation based on FE-DK statistically provide support for population size, per capita income, energy intensity, urbanization and mobile phone adoption as determinants of the two forms of carbon dioxide emissions (consumption-based carbon dioxide emissions and production-based carbon dioxide emissions). Distributional effects of these factors explain that (i) urbanization has heterogeneous positive effect on the two forms of carbon dioxide emissions, with higher impact in economies with relatively lower level of carbon dioxide emissions and (ii) mobile phone adoption has heterogeneous negative effect on the two forms of carbon dioxide emissions, with greater impact in economies with relatively higher level of carbon dioxide emissions. The study discussed the policy implications of these results in the context of SSA countries.

摘要

尽管有大量关于城市化与二氧化碳排放关系的研究,但在生态文献中,考虑手机普及作用的研究是有限的。本研究依赖于随机影响回归人口、富裕和技术(STIRPAT)分析框架来模拟环境影响,并采用固定效应普通最小二乘法(FE-DK)和新的矩分位数回归(MM-QR)估计技术,以检验手机普及在 21 个撒哈拉以南非洲国家城市化与二氧化碳排放关系中的作用,研究期间为 1995 年至 2017 年。基于 FE-DK 的估计结果在统计学上支持人口规模、人均收入、能源强度、城市化和手机普及是两种形式的二氧化碳排放(基于消费的二氧化碳排放和基于生产的二氧化碳排放)的决定因素。这些因素的分布效应表明:(i)城市化对两种形式的二氧化碳排放具有异质的积极影响,在二氧化碳排放水平相对较低的经济体中影响更大;(ii)手机普及对两种形式的二氧化碳排放具有异质的负向影响,在二氧化碳排放水平相对较高的经济体中影响更大。本研究在撒哈拉以南非洲国家的背景下讨论了这些结果的政策含义。

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