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天津住宅房价严重右偏的决定因素。

Determinants of the heavily right-tailed residential housing price in Tianjin.

作者信息

Zhao Bojuan Barbara, Su Ruijuan

机构信息

Department of Statistics, Tianjin University of Finance and Economics, Tianjin, People's Republic of China.

Department of Statistics, Pearl River College, Tianjin University of Finance and Economics, Tianjin, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

J Appl Stat. 2020 Nov 4;48(8):1457-1474. doi: 10.1080/02664763.2020.1840534. eCollection 2021.

Abstract

The housing price in Tianjin, one of the typical monocentric cities of China, exhibits a heavily right-tailed distribution even after the logarithm transformation of the price, which might lead to a biased estimation of the parameters under normal distribution assumption. Therefore, the extended Cox proportional hazards regression model and the generalized concept of relative risk are used to identify factors associated with the housing price. The analysis shows that the implementation dates of the macro regulation policies were related to the price changing trends. Qualities of public elementary and secondary schools were significantly associated with the housing price, and the associations between the structure and neighborhood characteristics and the housing price were influenced by the distance of the residential property to downtown Tianjin.

摘要

天津是中国典型的单中心城市之一,即使对房价进行对数变换后,其房价仍呈现出严重的右尾分布,这可能导致在正态分布假设下对参数的估计产生偏差。因此,采用扩展的Cox比例风险回归模型和相对风险的广义概念来识别与房价相关的因素。分析表明,宏观调控政策的实施日期与价格变化趋势有关。公立中小学的质量与房价显著相关,住宅结构和邻里特征与房价之间的关联受住宅与天津市中心距离的影响。

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