Department of Plant Sciences and Conservation Research Institute, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
School of Natural Sciences, College of Engineering and Environmental Sciences, Bangor University, Bangor, UK.
Conserv Biol. 2022 Dec;36(6):e13970. doi: 10.1111/cobi.13970. Epub 2022 Sep 8.
Reducing emissions from deforestation and forest degradation (REDD+) projects aim to contribute to climate change mitigation by protecting and enhancing carbon stocks in tropical forests, but there have been no systematic global evaluations of their impact. We used a new data set for tropical humid forests and a standardized evaluation approach (based on pixel matching) to quantify the performance of a representative sample of 40 voluntary REDD+ projects in 9 countries certified under the Verified Carbon Standard (VCS). In the first 5 years of implementation, deforestation within project areas was reduced by 47% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 24-68) compared with matched counterfactual pixels, and degradation rates were 58% lower (95% CI: 49-63). Reductions were small in absolute terms but greater in sites located in high-deforestation settings and did not appear to be substantially undermined by leakage activities in forested areas within 10 km of project boundaries. At the 26th Conference of the Parties of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, the international community renewed its commitment to tackling tropical deforestation as a nature-based solution to climate change. Our results indicate that incentivizing forest conservation through voluntary site-based projects can slow tropical deforestation and highlight the particular importance of prioritizing financing for areas at greater risk of deforestation.
减少森林砍伐和森林退化所致排放量(REDD+)项目旨在通过保护和增加热带森林的碳储量,为缓解气候变化做出贡献,但尚未对其影响进行系统的全球评估。我们使用了一个新的热带湿润森林数据集和标准化的评估方法(基于像素匹配),对经经核实的碳标准(VCS)认证的 9 个国家的 40 个自愿性 REDD+项目的一个代表性样本的绩效进行量化。在实施的头 5 年中,与匹配的反事实像素相比,项目区内的森林砍伐减少了 47%(95%置信区间 [CI]:24-68),退化速度降低了 58%(95% CI:49-63)。减少的绝对值较小,但在高森林砍伐地区的地点较大,并且项目边界 10 公里范围内的森林地区的泄漏活动似乎并没有对其产生实质性的破坏。在联合国气候变化框架公约第二十六次缔约方大会上,国际社会重申致力于将减少热带森林砍伐作为应对气候变化的一种基于自然的解决方案。我们的研究结果表明,通过基于地点的自愿性项目激励森林保护,可以减缓热带森林砍伐,并突出优先为面临更大森林砍伐风险的地区提供资金的重要性。