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射血分数保留的初发心力衰竭首次急性发作入院时的B型利钠肽是1年全因死亡率的预测指标。

B-Type Natriuretic Peptide at Admission Is a Predictor of All-Cause Mortality at One Year after the First Acute Episode of New-Onset Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction.

作者信息

Ghilencea Liviu-Nicolae, Bejan Gabriel-Cristian, Zamfirescu Marilena-Brîndusa, Stănescu Ana Maria Alexandra, Matei Lavinia-Lucia, Manea Laura-Maria, Kilic Ismail Dogu, Bălănescu Serban-Mihai, Popescu Andreea-Catarina, Myerson Saul Gareth

机构信息

Department of Cardiology, Elias University Hospital, Carol Davila University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 011416 Bucharest, Romania.

Department of Family Medicine, Carol Davila University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 011227 Bucharest, Romania.

出版信息

J Pers Med. 2022 May 28;12(6):890. doi: 10.3390/jpm12060890.

Abstract

Background: Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) has been assessed extensively, but few studies analysed the predictive value of the NT-proBNP in patients with de novo and acute HFpEF. We sought to identify NT-proBNP at admission as a predictor for all-cause mortality and rehospitalisation at 12 months in patients with new-onset HFpEF. Methods: We analysed 91 patients (73 ± 11 years, 68% females) admitted for de novo and acute HFpEF, using the Cox proportional hazard risk model. Results: An admission NT-proBNP level above the threshold of 2910 pg/mL identified increased all-cause mortality at 12 months (AUC = 0.72, sensitivity = 92%, specificity = 53%, p < 0.001). All-cause mortality adjusted for age, gender, medical history, and medication in the augmented NT-proBNP group was 16-fold higher (p = 0.018), but with no difference in rehospitalisation rates (p = 0.391). The predictors of increased NT-proBNP ≥ 2910 pg/mL were: age (p = 0.016), estimated glomerular filtration rate (p = 0.006), left atrial volume index (p = 0.001), history of atrial fibrillation (p = 0.006), and TAPSE (p = 0.009). Conclusions: NT-proBNP above 2910 pg/mL at admission for de novo and acute HFpEF predicted a 16-fold increased mortality at 12 months, whereas values less than 2910 pg/mL forecast a high likelihood of survival (99.3%) in the next 12 months, and should be considered as a useful prognostic tool, in addition to its utility in diagnosing heart failure.

摘要

背景

射血分数保留的心力衰竭(HFpEF)已得到广泛评估,但很少有研究分析N末端B型利钠肽原(NT-proBNP)在初发和急性HFpEF患者中的预测价值。我们试图确定入院时的NT-proBNP作为新发HFpEF患者12个月全因死亡率和再住院率的预测指标。方法:我们使用Cox比例风险模型分析了91例因初发和急性HFpEF入院的患者(73±11岁,68%为女性)。结果:入院时NT-proBNP水平高于2910 pg/mL阈值表明12个月时全因死亡率增加(曲线下面积=0.72,敏感性=92%,特异性=53%,p<0.001)。在增加NT-proBNP组中,经年龄、性别、病史和药物调整后的全因死亡率高16倍(p=0.018),但再住院率无差异(p=0.391)。NT-proBNP≥2910 pg/mL升高的预测因素为:年龄(p=0.016)、估计肾小球滤过率(p=0.006)、左心房容积指数(p=0.001)、心房颤动病史(p=0.006)和三尖瓣环平面收缩期位移(p=0.009)。结论:初发和急性HFpEF入院时NT-proBNP高于2910 pg/mL预测12个月时死亡率增加16倍,而低于2910 pg/mL的值预测未来12个月存活可能性高(99.3%),除了其在诊断心力衰竭中的作用外,还应被视为一种有用的预后工具。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c148/9225135/68d15981bc02/jpm-12-00890-g001.jpg

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