China Economics and Management Academy, Central University of Finance and Economics, Beijing, China.
School of Economics, Beijing Technology and Business University, Beijing, China.
PLoS One. 2022 Jun 30;17(6):e0270581. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0270581. eCollection 2022.
Deeply investigating the relationship between governance, financial development, and outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) is beneficial to formulating effective policies to accelerate Chinese firms' pace of overseas expansion. Based on the theoretical mechanism analysis, this paper empirically analyzes the impact of Asian governance and financial development on China's OFDI using the panel data of 37 Asian countries from 2003 to 2017. The results show that the host country governance has a negative and statistically significant impact on China's direct investment in Asia. The conclusion remains valid even after overcoming the interference of endogenous and economic cycle fluctuations. Moreover, using the mediating effect model, we find that financial development is an important channel through which host country governance affects China's OFDI. In further discussion, the findings suggest that with the scale of OFDI expanding, the role of governance takes an inverted "U" shape, and the "Belt and Road" initiative (BRI) weakens the negative impact of governance quality on China's OFDI. Furthermore, governance has shown more remarkable restraint on China's OFDI in neighboring, coastal, and low-income countries in the heterogeneity test. From the perspective of host country governance, this paper provides more specific guidance to formulate China's direct investment policy in Asia.
深入研究治理、金融发展与对外直接投资(OFDI)之间的关系,有利于制定加速中国企业海外扩张步伐的有效政策。本文基于理论机制分析,利用 2003—2017 年来自 37 个亚洲国家的面板数据,实证分析了亚洲治理和金融发展对中国 OFDI 的影响。结果表明,东道国治理对中国在亚洲的直接投资具有负向且在统计上显著的影响。即使克服了内生性和经济周期波动的干扰,这一结论仍然成立。此外,利用中介效应模型,我们发现金融发展是东道国治理影响中国 OFDI 的一个重要渠道。进一步的讨论表明,随着投资规模的扩大,治理的作用呈现出倒“U”型,“一带一路”倡议(BRI)减弱了治理质量对中国 OFDI 的负面影响。此外,在异质性检验中,治理对中国在邻近、沿海和低收入国家的 OFDI 表现出更为显著的抑制作用。从东道国治理的角度来看,本文为制定中国在亚洲的直接投资政策提供了更具体的指导。