School of Public Health, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, 511436, China.
School of Public Health, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, 310053, China.
Environ Pollut. 2022 Sep 1;308:119694. doi: 10.1016/j.envpol.2022.119694. Epub 2022 Jun 28.
To reduce the high disease burden caused by air pollution, World Health Organization (WHO) issued a new air quality guideline (AQG) on the 22nd September 2021. A timely quantitative assessment of health benefits by meeting these targets is a key measure to advocate and inform national and regional disease control policies. We collected daily major air pollution data in 315 Chinese cities from the 1st January to the 31st December 2019, and the corresponding annual population and mortality rate in the whole population of each city. Then, the mortality benefits were estimated when daily air pollution levels attained WHO's new AQG targets (15 μg/m for PM, 25 μg/m for NO and 100 μg/m for O) in 315 Chinese cities and 31 provinces by using pollutant- and cause-specific concentration-response functions. In total, 134,025 (95%CI: 92,768; 173,029) air pollution-associated non-accidental deaths could be avoided in 315 Chinese cities in 2019 by attaining WHO's new AQG targets, with 43,800 (95%CI: 29,945; 55,616) avoidable deaths from PM, 58,070 (95%CI: 45,333; 70,714) from NO, and 32,155 (95%CI: 17,490; 46,699) from O. Cardiovascular diseases and respiratory diseases accounted for 72,698 (95%CI: 46,561; 101,680) and 17,726 (95%CI: 8603; 26,925) avoidable deaths, respectively. Health benefits from reduction in air pollution levels were 99.26 avoided non-accidental deaths per million population at national level, ranging from 12.48 per million in Tibet to 166.26 per million in Hebei. These findings suggest that the compliance with the WHO updated AQG standards would save substantial amount of air pollution-related premature deaths in China. More stringent air pollution control and management measures are urgently warranted to reduce the disease burden from air pollutants in China, particularly for the worsening O pollution.
为降低空气污染造成的高疾病负担,世界卫生组织(WHO)于 2021 年 9 月 22 日发布了新的空气质量准则(AQG)。及时定量评估达到这些目标的健康效益是倡导和告知国家和地区疾病控制政策的关键措施。我们收集了 2019 年 1 月 1 日至 12 月 31 日期间 315 个中国城市的每日主要空气污染数据,以及每个城市的总人口和全人口死亡率。然后,我们使用污染物和病因特异性浓度反应函数,估计 315 个中国城市和 31 个省份达到世卫组织新的 AQG 标准(PM15μg/m、NO25μg/m 和 O100μg/m)时的死亡率效益。2019 年,在中国 315 个城市中,达到世卫组织新的 AQG 标准可避免 134025 例(95%CI:92768;173029)与空气污染相关的非意外死亡,其中 43800 例(95%CI:29945;55616)可归因于 PM,58070 例(95%CI:45333;70714)可归因于 NO,32155 例(95%CI:17490;46699)可归因于 O。心血管疾病和呼吸系统疾病分别占 72698 例(95%CI:46561;101680)和 17726 例(95%CI:8603;26925)可避免的死亡。从全国层面来看,降低空气污染水平带来的健康效益是每百万人避免 99.26 例非意外死亡,从西藏的 12.48 例每百万人到河北的 166.26 例每百万人不等。这些发现表明,中国遵守世卫组织最新 AQG 标准将大大减少与空气污染有关的过早死亡人数。中国迫切需要更严格的空气污染控制和管理措施,以减少空气污染对疾病的负担,特别是对不断恶化的 O 污染。