Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Loyola University Chicago, Chicago, IL, 60660, USA.
Department of Statistics, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN, 47907, USA.
Sci Rep. 2022 Jul 1;12(1):11143. doi: 10.1038/s41598-022-15342-z.
Thyroid cancer is a common endocrine carcinoma that occurs in the thyroid gland. Much effort has been invested in improving its diagnosis, and thyroidectomy remains the primary treatment method. A successful operation without unnecessary side injuries relies on an accurate preoperative diagnosis. Current human assessment of thyroid nodule malignancy is prone to errors and may not guarantee an accurate preoperative diagnosis. This study proposed a machine learning framework to predict thyroid nodule malignancy based on our collected novel clinical dataset. The ten-fold cross-validation, bootstrap analysis, and permutation predictor importance were applied to estimate and interpret the model performance under uncertainty. The comparison between model prediction and expert assessment shows the advantage of our framework over human judgment in predicting thyroid nodule malignancy. Our method is accurate, interpretable, and thus useable as additional evidence in the preoperative diagnosis of thyroid cancer.
甲状腺癌是一种常见的内分泌癌,发生在甲状腺中。人们为提高其诊断水平付出了巨大努力,甲状腺切除术仍然是主要的治疗方法。成功的手术没有不必要的副作用,这依赖于准确的术前诊断。目前,人类对甲状腺结节良恶性的评估容易出错,可能无法保证准确的术前诊断。本研究提出了一个基于我们收集的新临床数据集的机器学习框架来预测甲状腺结节的恶性程度。采用十折交叉验证、引导分析和置换预测器重要性来评估和解释模型在不确定性下的性能。模型预测与专家评估的比较表明,我们的框架在预测甲状腺结节恶性程度方面优于人类判断。我们的方法准确、可解释,因此可用作甲状腺癌术前诊断的附加证据。