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一个新兴国家国内生产总值的二氧化碳强度与环境退化

Carbon dioxide intensity of GDP and environmental degradation in an emerging country.

作者信息

Abbasi Kashif Raza, Kirikkaleli Dervis, Altuntaş Mehmet

机构信息

School of Economics, Shanghai University, No. 99, Shangda Road, Baoshan Campus, Baoshan District, Shanghai, China.

Department of Business Administration, Faculty of Management Sciences, ILMA University, Karachi, Pakistan.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Dec;29(56):84451-84459. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-21679-9. Epub 2022 Jul 2.

Abstract

This paper investigates whether the carbon dioxide (CO2) intensity of GDP matters for environmental degradation in an emerging country, namely, Turkey, over the period of 1990-2018 while controlling economic growth, foreign direct investment, and renewable energy consumption. The present study uses both linear and nonlinear time series estimators, namely, the Gregory and Hansen cointegration test, bounds test, nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model, fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS), dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS), and canonical cointegrating regressions (CCR), to encapsulate the possible effect of CO2 intensity of GDP, economic growth, foreign direct investment, and renewable energy consumption on environmental degradation in Turkey. The empirical finding of the present study reveals that the CO2 intensity of GDP is an important factor to determine environmental degradation in Turkey and the declining CO2 intensity of GDP reduces environmental degradation. Moreover, economic growth is the primary environmental sustainability factor in Turkey. The result is vital for policymaking and can perhaps be applied to take decisive policy actions to mitigate environmental issues.

摘要

本文研究了1990 - 2018年期间,在控制经济增长、外国直接投资和可再生能源消费的情况下,新兴国家土耳其国内生产总值(GDP)的二氧化碳(CO₂)强度对环境退化是否有影响。本研究使用了线性和非线性时间序列估计方法,即格雷戈里和汉森协整检验、边界检验、非线性自回归分布滞后(NARDL)模型、完全修正普通最小二乘法(FMOLS)、动态普通最小二乘法(DOLS)和规范协整回归(CCR),以概括GDP的CO₂强度、经济增长、外国直接投资和可再生能源消费对土耳其环境退化的可能影响。本研究的实证结果表明,GDP的CO₂强度是决定土耳其环境退化的一个重要因素,GDP的CO₂强度下降会减少环境退化。此外,经济增长是土耳其环境可持续性的主要因素。该结果对政策制定至关重要,或许可用于采取决定性的政策行动来缓解环境问题。

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