Faculty of Economics, Department of Econometrics, Istanbul University, Istanbul, Turkey.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Jan;30(4):10024-10036. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-22800-8. Epub 2022 Sep 6.
The aim of this paper is to investigate the possible impact of foreign direct investment inflows (FDI) on environmental pollution and to test the validity of the pollution haven hypothesis (PHH) in the case of Turkey over the period 1970-2020. For this purpose, we apply the Fourier approximation to determine stochastic properties of the variables that are FDI, economic growth, energy consumption, and CO emissions used in empirical analysis and the relationship between them. The advantage of the Fourier approximation is capable of capturing possible structural breaks in unknown forms and numbers in the series. According to Fourier KPSS and Fourier FADF tests, all series are stationary at order one, I (1). Fourier Shin and Fourier ADL cointegration tests put forth evidence of the existence of a long-term relationship between CO, GDP, EC, and FDI. FMOLS expanded with Fourier terms suggesting that FDI has relatively little but a positive impact on CO emissions, so we conclude that PHH is valid for Turkey. The other finding reveals that there exists an inverted U-shape relationship between economic growth and CO emissions. According to this result, the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis for Turkey is also supported. Another remark of this paper is that energy consumption significantly increases environmental degradation in Turkey. These findings also are supported by Fourier Toda and Yamamoto causality test. There is a causality relationship from GDP, EC, and FDI to CO2 emissions. These findings offer useful recommendations for policymakers: the FDI, which uses new and clean technology, should be encouraged and implemented energy policies should be energy intensity reducer and efficiency increaser for reducing environmental pollution in Turkey.
本文旨在探讨外国直接投资流入(FDI)对环境污染的可能影响,并检验污染避难所假说(PHH)在土耳其 1970-2020 年期间的有效性。为此,我们应用傅里叶近似法来确定 FDI、经济增长、能源消耗和 CO2 排放等变量的随机性质,并检验它们之间的关系。傅里叶近似法的优势在于能够捕捉到序列中未知形式和数量的结构断点。根据傅里叶 KPSS 和傅里叶 FADF 检验,所有序列在一阶,即 I(1),都是平稳的。傅里叶 Shin 和傅里叶 ADL 协整检验表明,CO、GDP、EC 和 FDI 之间存在长期关系。FMOLS 扩展了傅里叶项,表明 FDI 对 CO2 排放的影响相对较小,但为正,因此我们得出结论,PHH 对土耳其是有效的。另一个发现表明,经济增长与 CO2 排放之间存在倒 U 型关系。根据这一结果,土耳其的环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)假说也得到了支持。本文的另一个观点是,能源消耗在土耳其显著加剧了环境恶化。傅里叶 Toda 和 Yamamoto 因果检验也支持了这一结果。GDP、EC 和 FDI 与 CO2 排放之间存在因果关系。这些发现为政策制定者提供了有益的建议:应鼓励使用新技术和清洁技术的 FDI,并实施能源政策,以降低土耳其的环境污染。