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城市美国儿科人群中 COVID-19 的流行病学和传播动力学。

Epidemiology and Transmission Dynamics of COVID-19 in an Urban Pediatric US Population.

机构信息

Department of Pediatrics, Denver Health and Hospital Authority, Denver, CO, USA.

Department of Pediatrics, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, USA.

出版信息

Public Health Rep. 2022 Sep-Oct;137(5):1013-1022. doi: 10.1177/00333549221105232. Epub 2022 Jul 4.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

This analysis summarizes observational epidemiologic data and transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 among people aged <18 years to better characterize the pediatric COVID-19 pandemic.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study of public health surveillance data among children in Denver, Colorado, who were reported to have COVID-19 from March 1, 2020, through September 30, 2021. We used descriptive statistics and bivariate rate ratios (RRs) to describe demographic and clinical characteristics, transmission dynamics, case trends, and ecological associations.

RESULTS

A total of 9815 children and adolescents who had COVID-19 were reported during the study period. Adolescents aged 14-17 years had the highest incidence rate (IR) per 1000 people (IR = 107.5; 3021 of 28 108). Hispanic/Latino children had a 1.6 times higher rate of infection than non-Hispanic White children (RR = 1.57; 95% CI, 1.50-1.65; < .001). Few hospitalizations (n = 138, 1.4%) and deaths (n = 3, 0%) occurred. Most children were symptomatic (4487 of 5499, 81.6%). Within household clusters, a large proportion of pediatric cases (n = 6136) were a secondary case (n = 3959, 64.5%), followed by index case (n = 1170, 19.1%) and co-index case (n = 1007, 16.4%). Non-Hispanic White children had an increased risk of being an index or co-index case (RR = 1.14; 95% CI, 1.06-1.23; < .001), while Hispanic/Latino children had an increased risk of being a secondary case (RR = 1.07; 95% CI, 1.03-1.11; < .001). From 2020 to 2021, the association between pediatric case rates and neighborhoods with higher poverty and households with ≥3 people decreased.

CONCLUSIONS

Older children and those identifying as Hispanic/Latino had a disproportionate incidence of disease. A sizable proportion of children were considered index cases or co-index cases. Pediatric prevention strategies, especially vaccinations, are vital for pandemic control.

摘要

目的

本分析总结了年龄<18 岁人群中 SARS-CoV-2 的观察性流行病学数据和传播动力学,以更好地描述儿科 COVID-19 大流行。

方法

我们对 2020 年 3 月 1 日至 2021 年 9 月 30 日期间科罗拉多州丹佛市报告患有 COVID-19 的儿童进行了一项公共卫生监测数据的回顾性研究。我们使用描述性统计和双变量率比 (RR) 来描述人口统计学和临床特征、传播动态、病例趋势和生态关联。

结果

在研究期间,共报告了 9815 名患有 COVID-19 的儿童和青少年。14-17 岁的青少年每千人发病率最高 (IR) (IR = 107.5; 3021/28108)。西班牙裔/拉丁裔儿童的感染率比非西班牙裔白人儿童高 1.6 倍(RR = 1.57;95%CI,1.50-1.65; <.001)。住院治疗(n = 138,1.4%)和死亡(n = 3,0%)很少见。大多数儿童有症状(n = 5499,81.6%)。在家庭群集中,很大一部分儿科病例(n = 6136)是二级病例(n = 3959,64.5%),其次是指数病例(n = 1170,19.1%)和共同指数病例(n = 1007,16.4%)。非西班牙裔白人儿童作为指数或共同指数病例的风险增加(RR = 1.14;95%CI,1.06-1.23; <.001),而西班牙裔/拉丁裔儿童作为二级病例的风险增加(RR = 1.07;95%CI,1.03-1.11; <.001)。从 2020 年到 2021 年,儿科病例率与贫困程度较高的社区和家庭人口超过 3 人之间的关联减少。

结论

年龄较大的儿童和那些自认为是西班牙裔/拉丁裔的儿童发病率较高。相当一部分儿童被认为是指数病例或共同指数病例。儿科预防策略,特别是疫苗接种,对大流行控制至关重要。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/206e/9379835/c1ad3a7c217c/10.1177_00333549221105232-fig1.jpg

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