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阴谋论气候:对气候变化阴谋论信仰后果的元分析。

Climate of conspiracy: A meta-analysis of the consequences of belief in conspiracy theories about climate change.

机构信息

Department of Psychology, University of Cambridge, United Kingdom.

Department of Psychology, University of Cambridge, United Kingdom.

出版信息

Curr Opin Psychol. 2022 Aug;46:101390. doi: 10.1016/j.copsyc.2022.101390. Epub 2022 Jun 11.

Abstract

Despite widespread scientific consensus on climate change, conspiracy theories about its causes and consequences are flourishing. In response, psychological research has started to investigate the consequences of espousing conspiracy beliefs about climate change. Although some scholars maintain that the evidence for a causal link between belief in conspiracy theories and behavior remains elusive, others have argued that climate change conspiracy theories undermine pro-climate action. To shed further light on this question across a range of outcome measures, we present a meta-analysis of 22 independent samples (N = 20,765). Overall, we find clear evidence that climate conspiracy beliefs have moderate-to-large negative correlations with not only acceptance of (climate) science, trust, and pro-environmental concern, but also with behavioural intentions and policy support. Most of these effects were not moderated by design (experimental vs. correlational), political ideology, or prior conspiracy beliefs. However, we note publication bias and in several cases sufficient experimental data were lacking. Implications for addressing conspiracy theories about climate change are discussed.

摘要

尽管科学界普遍认为气候变化是事实,但有关其成因和后果的阴谋论却层出不穷。有鉴于此,心理学研究开始调查气候变化阴谋论信仰的后果。虽然一些学者认为,信仰阴谋论与行为之间的因果关系的证据仍然难以捉摸,但也有学者认为,气候变化阴谋论破坏了支持气候行动的行为。为了在一系列结果衡量标准上进一步阐明这个问题,我们对 22 个独立样本(N=20765)进行了荟萃分析。总的来说,我们有明确的证据表明,气候变化阴谋论不仅与对(气候)科学、信任和环保关注的接受程度,而且与行为意图和政策支持之间存在中等至较大的负相关。这些影响中的大多数不受设计(实验与相关)、政治意识形态或先前阴谋论信仰的影响。然而,我们注意到发表偏差,在某些情况下,缺乏足够的实验数据。讨论了应对气候变化阴谋论的影响。

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