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印度尼西亚的 COVID-19 大流行向地方病过渡:未来会怎样?

COVID-19 Pandemic-to-Endemic Transition in Indonesia: What Does the Future Hold?

机构信息

Division of Tropical and Infectious Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine Universitas Indonesia - Cipto Mangunkusumo Hospital, Jakarta, Indonesia.

出版信息

Acta Med Indones. 2022 Apr;54(2):159-160.

Abstract

Since first reported in December 2019, SARS-2 Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) infection has become a world-class pandemic, overwhelming every aspect of the global system. Globally, 526 billion confirmed cases with 6,3 billion death cases were reported by World Health Organization (WHO) by 31 May 2022. In that period, Indonesia has reported 6 billion confirmed cases with a case fatality rate reaching 2.58%. The number of new weekly cases and new weekly death have continued the declining trend observed since its peak in January 2022, i.e. 3% decrease of new weekly cases and 11% decrease of new weekly death as compared to the previous week. In response to the current epidemiology improvement, countries including Indonesia have relaxed some regulations on COVID-19 as the preparation for pandemic-to-endemic transition.Endemic is not equal to harmless. Commonly, endemic is falsely interpreted as the end of COVID-19, bringing to a false complacency. Endemic "label" on an infectious disease, such as malaria, HIV infection, tuberculosis in certain regions of the world, means the overall rates of infection are static - neither rising nor falling. Endemic "label" defines nothing about time duration to reach disease end or how many populations will still be susceptible to the disease. Therefore, transition for pandemic-to-endemic of COVID-19 could not simply translated into the end of either public and health service awareness, or research on COVID-19. It then should add new emerging perspective on COVID-19 research as was mandated by WHO. One example of which is evidence-based strategies for infection prevention control and personal protective equipment for infection control de-escalation in relation to COVID-19 pandemic scaling back.In the spirit of nurturing research and publication in this transition for pandemic-to-endemic era, the Indonesian Journal of Internal Medicine published various COVID-19 associated-original articles, systematic review, and case series across various COVID-19 condition. Atici, et. al. and Tunjungputri, et. al. report articles on factors and treatment that is associated with higher COVID-19 survival. Corticosteroids, Interleukin-6 inhibitors and anticoagulant administered to the proper subset of COVID-19 population are several beneficial treatments among limited evidence-based proven treatment available today. These supportive treatments, whenever indicated at the proper time, should be considered in managing every COVID-19 patient. In addition, high antibiotic use in COVID-19 patients despite low secondary bacterial infection has been widely reported. Chen, et. al. report a similar situation in Indonesia and should raise the awareness of antimicrobial resistance thread now and in the future. Together with proper diagnostic stewardship, the simple predictors of secondary bacterial infection that have been concluded could potentially be used to reduce liberal antibiotic use while optimizing the use in indicated patients. Prabowo, et al. enriched our understanding on usage of telemedicine to monitor post COVID-19 condition in Indonesian populations.High quality research has, and will again, save the livelihoods of people across the world. While future pandemics could not be completely prevented, the research infrastructures that have built during last 2 years could be used as a strong modality to be better prepared and coordinated in future outbreak/ pandemic response by detecting and preventing the emerging diseases at their very early stage. Waste in COVID-19 research and multiple COVID-19 associated research article retractions should caution researchers -as evidence-producer- and clinicians -as evidence-user- in prioritizing the scientific inquiry and questioning individual conflict of interest. Insightful articles addressing the multitude aspects of the COVID-19 pandemic-to-endemic transition related topics are still needed in the future.

摘要

自 2019 年 12 月首次报告以来,SARS-2 冠状病毒(SARS-CoV-2)感染已成为一场全球性大流行,使全球系统的各个方面都不堪重负。截至 2022 年 5 月 31 日,世界卫生组织(WHO)报告了全球 5260 亿例确诊病例和 63 亿例死亡病例。在这期间,印度尼西亚报告了 60 亿例确诊病例,病死率达到 2.58%。自 2022 年 1 月达到峰值以来,每周新增病例和每周新增死亡人数继续呈下降趋势,即每周新增病例减少 3%,每周新增死亡人数减少 11%。为应对当前流行病学的改善,包括印度尼西亚在内的国家已经放宽了对 COVID-19 的一些规定,为大流行向地方病过渡做准备。地方病并不等于无害。通常,地方病被错误地解释为 COVID-19 的结束,带来了虚假的自满情绪。在世界某些地区,疟疾、艾滋病毒感染、结核病等传染病的地方病“标签”意味着感染率总体上是稳定的——既没有上升也没有下降。地方病“标签”并不能定义达到疾病结束所需的时间或仍有多少人群易受该疾病影响。因此,COVID-19 从大流行向地方病的过渡不能简单地转化为公众和卫生服务意识的结束,或对 COVID-19 的研究的结束。因此,应根据世界卫生组织的要求,增加 COVID-19 研究的新出现视角。例如,在 COVID-19 大流行消退的情况下,制定感染预防控制和个人防护设备的循证策略。本着在这一大流行向地方病过渡时期培育研究和出版的精神,《印度尼西亚内科杂志》发表了各种与 COVID-19 相关的原创文章、系统评价和病例系列,涵盖了各种 COVID-19 情况。Atici 等人和 Tunjungputri 等人报告了与 COVID-19 生存率较高相关的因素和治疗方法。皮质类固醇、白细胞介素 6 抑制剂和抗凝剂在适当的 COVID-19 人群中使用是目前有限的循证治疗中几种有益的治疗方法。这些支持性治疗方法,如果在适当的时候使用,应该在管理每个 COVID-19 患者时考虑。此外,尽管二次细菌感染的发生率较低,但 COVID-19 患者中抗生素的广泛使用已被广泛报道。Chen 等人报告了印度尼西亚类似的情况,应该提高对未来抗生素耐药性的认识。与适当的诊断管理相结合,已经得出的对二次细菌感染的简单预测因素有可能被用于减少抗生素的自由使用,同时优化在有指征的患者中的使用。Prabowo 等人丰富了我们对印度尼西亚人群使用远程医疗监测 COVID-19 后病情的理解。高质量的研究已经并将再次拯救世界各地人民的生命。虽然未来的大流行无法完全预防,但在过去两年中建立的研究基础设施可以作为一种强大的模式,通过在疾病的早期阶段发现和预防新发疾病,为未来的疫情/大流行做出更好的准备和协调。COVID-19 研究的浪费和多项 COVID-19 相关研究文章的撤回应该提醒研究人员——作为证据的生产者——和临床医生——作为证据的使用者——在优先考虑科学探究和质疑个人利益冲突方面。未来仍需要针对 COVID-19 从大流行向地方病过渡的相关主题的有见地的文章。

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