Graduate School of Medicine, Kyoto University, Yoshidakonoecho, Sakyo-ku, Kyoto, 606-8501, Japan.
Department of Environmental Medicine and Behavioral Science, Kindai University Faculty of Medicine, Osakasayama, Japan.
Sci Rep. 2022 Jul 14;12(1):12026. doi: 10.1038/s41598-022-15867-3.
We analysed 2006-2016 national influenza surveillance data in Japan with regards to age-, sex-, and predominant virus-related epidemic patterns and the prevalence of serum influenza virus antibodies. We found a significant increase in influenza prevalence in both children (≤ 19 years old) and adults (≥ 20 years old) over time. The influenza prevalence was higher in children (0.33 [95% CI 0.26-0.40]) than in adults (0.09 [95% CI 0.07-0.11]). Additionally, the mean prevalence of antibodies for A(H1N1)pdm09 and A(H3N2) was significantly higher in children than in adults, whereas the mean prevalence of antibodies for B lineages was relatively low in both children and adults. There was a biennial cycle of the epidemic peak in children, which was associated with a relatively higher prevalence of B lineages. The female-to-male ratios of the influenza prevalence were significantly different in children (≤ 19 years old; 1.10 [95% CI:1.08-1.13]), adults (20-59 years old; 0.79 [95% CI 0.75-0.82]), and older adults (≥ 60 years old; 1.01 [95% CI 0.97-1.04]). The significant increase in influenza prevalence throughout the study period suggests a change of immunity to influenza infection. Long-term surveillance is important for developing a strategy to monitor, prevent and control for influenza epidemics.
我们分析了日本 2006 年至 2016 年期间的全国流感监测数据,包括年龄、性别、主要病毒流行模式以及血清流感病毒抗体的流行情况。我们发现,儿童(≤19 岁)和成人(≥20 岁)的流感流行率随时间推移呈显著上升趋势。儿童(0.33[95%CI 0.26-0.40])的流感流行率高于成人(0.09[95%CI 0.07-0.11])。此外,A(H1N1)pdm09 和 A(H3N2)的抗体平均流行率在儿童中明显高于成人,而 B 谱系的抗体平均流行率在儿童和成人中均较低。儿童的流行高峰呈两年周期,与 B 谱系的相对较高流行率有关。儿童(≤19 岁)、成人(20-59 岁)和老年人群(≥60 岁)的流感流行率的女性与男性比例存在显著差异(儿童:1.10[95%CI:1.08-1.13];成人:0.79[95%CI 0.75-0.82];老年人群:1.01[95%CI 0.97-1.04])。整个研究期间流感流行率的显著上升表明,流感感染的免疫情况发生了变化。长期监测对于制定监测、预防和控制流感流行的策略非常重要。