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分析粤港澳大湾区城市经济弹性的时空特征及其影响因素。

Analysis of Spatio-Temporal Characteristics of Urban Economic Resilience and Influencing Factors in Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area.

机构信息

School of Resources and Planning, Guangzhou Xinhua University, Guangzhou, China.

Faculty of Innovation and Design, City University of Macau, Macau, China.

出版信息

Front Public Health. 2022 Jun 28;10:922096. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2022.922096. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

Due to the changes in the domestic and international economic situation in the post-pandemic era, the economic development of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area has become unstable in many aspects. The paper adopted the Pressure-State-Response (PSR) model to build a regional economic resilience evaluation system from the perspective of public health emergencies. Then, the spatial and temporal evolution of the economic resilience of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area and the influencing factors were explored by using entropy weight method, GIS and gray correlation method. The conclusions show that: (1) Temporally, the economic resilience of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area has generally increased from 2010 to 2021, and is divided into three main stages: rapid development, adjustment to fluctuations and stable development. (2) Spatially, the overall pattern of economic resilience in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area is high in the middle and south and low in the northwest, and shows a "stochastic-equalized-polarized" pattern of transformation. (3) In terms of influencing factors, economic status and economic response are the main dimensions affecting the resilience level of the economic system in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao region. The level of scientific research and innovation, medical governance, government regulation and the rationalization of the industrial system are the key factors.

摘要

由于后疫情时代国内外经济形势的变化,粤港澳大湾区经济发展在多方面呈现出不稳定态势。本研究采用压力-状态-响应(PSR)模型,从突发公共卫生事件视角构建区域经济韧性评价体系,运用熵权法、GIS 及灰色关联法,探讨 2010—2021 年粤港澳大湾区经济韧性的时空演变及其影响因素。结果表明:①时间上,粤港澳大湾区经济韧性整体呈上升趋势,可分为快速发展、波动调整和稳定发展 3 个主要阶段。②空间上,粤港澳大湾区经济韧性呈“中间高、南北低”的格局,且表现出“随机-均衡-极化”的演变态势。③影响因素方面,经济地位和经济响应是影响粤港澳地区经济系统韧性水平的主要维度,科研创新水平、医疗治理水平、政府监管水平和产业体系合理化是关键因素。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8af7/9273716/c31dffcf2cb8/fpubh-10-922096-g0001.jpg

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