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中国沿海生态系统健康的时空变化及驱动因素分析

Temporal-spatial change of China's coastal ecosystems health and driving factors analysis.

作者信息

Xu Wenbin, He Mengxuan, Meng Weiqing, Zhang Ying, Yun Haofan, Lu Yalan, Huang Zhimei, Mo Xunqiang, Hu Beibei, Liu Baiqiao, Li Hongyuan

机构信息

School of Geographic and Environmental Science, Tianjin Normal University, Tianjin 300387, China.

School of Geographic and Environmental Science, Tianjin Normal University, Tianjin 300387, China.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2022 Nov 1;845:157319. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.157319. Epub 2022 Jul 15.

Abstract

Understanding the spatial distribution pattern change and driving factors behind ecosystem health is essential to ecosystem management and restoration. However, in the research of regional ecosystem health, there is little research on ecosystem health in coastal regions, and there is little exploration of its temporal and spatial pattern change and its driving factors. In this study, we use the Vigor-Organization-Resilience-Services (VORS) model and marine ecosystem health index to diagnose the ecosystem health of the whole coastal area of China over the last 20 years, and find the main contributing factors affecting ecosystem health with the help of geographic detectors and geographic weighted regression analysis. Our results show that: (1) the ecosystem health level in the south of the coastal region is higher than that in the north, mainly with 30° north latitude as the main dividing line. (2) The regions with high change rate are mainly concentrated in Bohai Bay, the Yangtze River Estuary, Hangzhou Bay and the Pearl River Estuary, and the change is mainly negative. (3) Both natural and human factors have an impact on ecosystem health, and the influencing factors are different on different scales. The interaction between different factors is greater than the impact of a single factor on ecosystem health. The study puts forward a new evaluation framework for the study of ecosystem health in coastal areas, which can be applied to other coastal areas with similar conditions, and can help the sustainable and healthy development of coastal areas.

摘要

了解生态系统健康背后的空间分布格局变化及其驱动因素对于生态系统管理和恢复至关重要。然而,在区域生态系统健康研究中,对沿海地区生态系统健康的研究较少,对其时空格局变化及其驱动因素的探索也较少。在本研究中,我们使用活力-组织-恢复力-服务(VORS)模型和海洋生态系统健康指数对中国整个沿海地区过去20年的生态系统健康状况进行诊断,并借助地理探测器和地理加权回归分析找出影响生态系统健康的主要因素。我们的研究结果表明:(1)沿海地区南部的生态系统健康水平高于北部,主要以北纬30°为主要分界线。(2)变化率较高的区域主要集中在渤海湾、长江口、杭州湾和珠江口,且变化主要为负向。(3)自然和人为因素均对生态系统健康产生影响,且不同尺度上的影响因素不同。不同因素之间的相互作用大于单一因素对生态系统健康的影响。该研究为沿海地区生态系统健康研究提出了一个新的评价框架,可应用于其他条件相似的沿海地区,并有助于沿海地区的可持续健康发展。

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