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基于机器学习技术的可持续高性能混凝土劈裂抗拉强度预测

Splitting tensile strength prediction of sustainable high-performance concrete using machine learning techniques.

作者信息

Wu Yanqi, Zhou Yisong

机构信息

School of Civil Engineering, Southeast University, Nanjing, 211189, China.

School of Civil Engineering, Xinyang College, Xinyang, 464000, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Dec;29(59):89198-89209. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-22048-2. Epub 2022 Jul 18.

Abstract

Splitting tensile strength is one of the commonly used mechanical properties in the design of high-performance concrete (HPC) structures. To achieve accurate prediction of splitting tensile strength of HPC, two optimized machine learning models GA-ANN and GS-SVR were employed to predict the target tensile strength on 714 sets of sample data with 12 features of HPC as input variables. The appropriate initial weights and thresholds of the ANN model and hyper-parameters of the SVR model were first obtained by genetic algorithm and grid search, respectively. Then, the optimized models were used to train and test the dataset, and the performance of the models was evaluated and compared using evaluation metrics. The results showed that the prediction accuracy of the optimized GA-ANN model was higher than that of the pre-optimized ANN model, but still inferior to that of the GS-SVR model. Compared with the known machine learning models in the literature, the GS-SVR model proposed in this paper has smaller prediction error, higher prediction accuracy, and better performance. The strong generalization ability of the GS-SVR model to unseen test data indicates its great potential in predicting the tensile strength and is recommended as an alternative method for splitting tensile strength prediction of HPC. Additionally, a parametric analysis based on the Shapley additive explanations approach (SHAP) was proposed to investigate the importance and contribution of these input variables on the output splitting tensile strength.

摘要

劈裂抗拉强度是高性能混凝土(HPC)结构设计中常用的力学性能之一。为了准确预测高性能混凝土的劈裂抗拉强度,采用了两种优化的机器学习模型GA-ANN和GS-SVR,以12个高性能混凝土特征作为输入变量,对714组样本数据的目标抗拉强度进行预测。首先分别通过遗传算法和网格搜索获得了ANN模型的合适初始权重和阈值以及SVR模型的超参数。然后,使用优化后的模型对数据集进行训练和测试,并使用评估指标对模型的性能进行评估和比较。结果表明,优化后的GA-ANN模型的预测精度高于预优化的ANN模型,但仍低于GS-SVR模型。与文献中已知的机器学习模型相比,本文提出的GS-SVR模型具有更小的预测误差、更高的预测精度和更好的性能。GS-SVR模型对未见测试数据具有很强的泛化能力,表明其在预测抗拉强度方面具有巨大潜力,建议作为高性能混凝土劈裂抗拉强度预测的替代方法。此外,还提出了基于Shapley加法解释方法(SHAP)的参数分析,以研究这些输入变量对输出劈裂抗拉强度的重要性和贡献。

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