Department of Political Science, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; Center for Research in Econometric Theory and Applications, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan.
AHEAD Intelligence Ltd, Taipei, Taiwan.
Soc Sci Med. 2022 Sep;308:115199. doi: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2022.115199. Epub 2022 Jul 14.
Can one's political ideology predict his or her testing positive for COVID-19 and how? The present study leveraged a recent (April-May 2020) survey of 27,260 individuals across 27 democracies to investigate the associations between political ideology and coronavirus infections. Our individual-level data and mediation analyses allow us to tease out different correlational paths according to which one's political ideology affects his or her infection. We found a more right-leaning attitude to be associated with a higher probability of testing positive both directly and indirectly through conspiracy theory beliefs and physical distancing. Moreover, our cross-national investigation also found that becoming more right-leaning in ideology was associated with a higher level of perceived risk of COVID-19 infection, which made one less likely to test positive. Combined, we provide a more nuanced understanding of the role played by political ideology in the current pandemic, on which the design of a more effective risk communication strategy can be based.
一个人的政治意识形态能否预测他或她 COVID-19 检测呈阳性，以及如何预测？本研究利用最近（2020 年 4 月至 5 月）对 27 个民主国家的 27260 个人进行的调查，调查了政治意识形态与冠状病毒感染之间的关联。我们的个人层面数据和中介分析允许我们根据一个人的政治意识形态影响他或她感染的不同相关路径来区分。我们发现，更倾向于右派的态度与检测呈阳性的概率更高直接相关，也通过阴谋论信仰和保持身体距离间接相关。此外，我们的跨国调查还发现，意识形态上变得更加右派与对 COVID-19 感染的感知风险水平更高相关，这使得检测呈阳性的可能性降低。综上所述，我们更细致地了解了政治意识形态在当前大流行中的作用，这可以为制定更有效的风险沟通策略提供依据。
