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前瞻性化石燃料转型的公平、有效且可行的方法。

Equitable, effective, and feasible approaches for a prospective fossil fuel transition.

作者信息

Rempel Arthur, Gupta Joyeeta

机构信息

Governance and Inclusive Development Research Group University of Amsterdam Amsterdam The Netherlands.

Governance and Inclusive Development Research Group Amsterdam Institute for Social Science Research, University of Amsterdam Amsterdam The Netherlands.

出版信息

Wiley Interdiscip Rev Clim Change. 2022 Mar-Apr;13(2):e756. doi: 10.1002/wcc.756. Epub 2021 Dec 28.

Abstract

Most fossil fuel resources must remain unused to comply with the Paris Agreement on Climate Change. Scholars and policymakers debate which approaches should be undertaken to Leave Fossil Fuels Underground (LFFU). However, existing scholarship has not yet inventoried and evaluated the array of approaches to LFFU based on their effectiveness, equity, or feasibility. Hence, this review article asks: We identify 28 unique LFFU approaches, of which only 12 are deemed environmentally effective (e.g., fossil fuel extraction taxes, bans and moratoria, and financial swaps); eight involve moderate-to-high (non-)monetary costs, and only four are deemed entirely just and equitable. Of the 12 environmentally effective approaches: only three were deemed cost-effective (regulating financial capital for fossil fuel projects, removing existing fossil fuel subsidies, and bans & moratoria); merely four were deemed equitable (asset write-offs, retiring existing fossil infrastructure, pursuing court cases/litigation, and financial swaps); and all were deemed institutionally problematic in terms of their feasibility (six were challenging to implement as they threatened the vested interests of powerful stakeholder groups). Moreover, the reviewed scholarship draws heavily on empirical studies of how these LFFU approaches can be optimized in European, North American, and Chinese contexts; fewer studies have explored the effectiveness and fairness of LFFU approaches in the South and/or in a North-South context. Future research should particularly focus on North-South fossil fuel financial flows, which have received comparatively little attention. This article is categorized under:The Carbon Economy and Climate Mitigation > Decarbonizing Energy and/or Reducing Demand.

摘要

为了遵守《巴黎气候变化协定》,大多数化石燃料资源必须保持未使用状态。学者和政策制定者们在讨论应该采取哪些方法来将化石燃料埋于地下(Leave Fossil Fuels Underground,LFFU)。然而,现有的学术研究尚未根据其有效性、公平性或可行性,对一系列LFFU方法进行梳理和评估。因此,这篇综述文章提出:我们识别出了28种独特的LFFU方法,其中只有12种被认为在环境方面是有效的(例如,化石燃料开采税、禁令和暂停令以及金融互换);8种涉及中到高(非)货币成本,只有4种被认为是完全公正和公平的。在这12种环境有效的方法中:只有3种被认为具有成本效益(监管化石燃料项目的金融资本、取消现有的化石燃料补贴以及禁令和暂停令);只有4种被认为是公平的(资产核销、淘汰现有的化石基础设施、提起诉讼以及金融互换);就其可行性而言,所有方法在制度方面都存在问题(其中6种方法实施起来具有挑战性,因为它们威胁到了强大利益相关者群体的既得利益)。此外,所审查的学术研究大量借鉴了关于如何在欧洲、北美和中国背景下优化这些LFFU方法的实证研究;较少有研究探讨LFFU方法在南方和/或南北背景下有效性和公平性。未来的研究应特别关注南北化石燃料资金流动,而这方面受到的关注相对较少。本文分类如下:碳经济与气候缓解>能源脱碳和/或减少需求。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2fb0/9286627/53c26695b37b/WCC-13-0-g027.jpg

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