Bruckner Tim A, Das Abhery, Duncan Greg J
Program in Public Health, University of California, Irvine, United States.
Center for Population, Inequality, and Policy, University of California, Irvine, United States.
Prev Med Rep. 2022 Oct;29:101911. doi: 10.1016/j.pmedr.2022.101911. Epub 2022 Jul 21.
COVID-19 in the US disproportionately affected, and continues to affect, racial/ethnic minorities. Although risky social gatherings for Thanksgiving and Christmas in 2020 contributed substantially to the "winter surge" in cases and deaths, no research examines potential racial/ethnic differences in behaviors related to holiday gatherings.
We used the Understanding America Survey (UAS) - Coronavirus Tracking, a nationally representative study of US adults, to examine associations between race/ethnicity and risky holiday gathering behavior (i.e., gathering with non-household members and with little to no social distancing or mask-wearing). We applied logistic regression models to examine racial/ethnic and socioeconomic differences in risky holiday gatherings while accounting for a person's pre-holiday perception of COVID-19 risk as well as related behaviors.
Non-Hispanic Black adults showed a lower prevalence of attending a risky Thanksgiving gathering than did non-Hispanic White adults (15 % vs 43 %, p <.001). The magnitude of this racial/ethnic difference was also found for risky Christmas gatherings. Hispanic and "Other" race/ethnicity adults also appeared less likely than non-Hispanic whites to attend a risky holiday gathering. Higher-income households attended a risky holiday gathering more frequently, when compared with lower income households (p <.001). Logistic regression results, which controlled for other COVID-19 related behaviors, support these main findings.
Racial/ethnic minorities, and non-Hispanic Black adults in particular, appeared least likely to have engaged in risky holiday gatherings in late 2020. If replicated, our findings appear consistent with the notion that behavioral modification among racial/ethnic minorities may have reduced the intensity of the 2020/21 "winter surge" in COVID-19.
美国的新冠疫情对少数族裔造成了不成比例且持续的影响。尽管2020年感恩节和圣诞节期间的高风险社交聚会在很大程度上导致了病例和死亡人数的“冬季激增”,但尚无研究探讨与节日聚会相关行为中潜在的种族/族裔差异。
我们使用了“美国理解调查”(UAS)-冠状病毒追踪,这是一项对美国成年人具有全国代表性的研究,以检验种族/族裔与高风险节日聚会行为(即与非家庭成员聚会,几乎没有或完全没有社交距离或佩戴口罩)之间的关联。我们应用逻辑回归模型来检验高风险节日聚会中的种族/族裔和社会经济差异,同时考虑一个人在假期前对新冠风险的认知以及相关行为。
非西班牙裔黑人成年人参加高风险感恩节聚会的比例低于非西班牙裔白人成年人(15%对43%,p<.001)。在高风险圣诞节聚会上也发现了这种种族/族裔差异的程度。西班牙裔和“其他”种族/族裔的成年人参加高风险节日聚会的可能性也低于非西班牙裔白人。与低收入家庭相比,高收入家庭更频繁地参加高风险节日聚会(p<.001)。控制了其他与新冠病毒相关行为的逻辑回归结果支持了这些主要发现。
少数族裔,尤其是非西班牙裔黑人成年人,在2020年末参与高风险节日聚会的可能性似乎最小。如果得到重复验证,我们的研究结果似乎与以下观点一致,即少数族裔的行为改变可能降低了2020/21年新冠疫情“冬季激增”的强度。