School of Statistics, Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, Nanchang, China.
Front Public Health. 2022 Jul 11;10:925910. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2022.925910. eCollection 2022.
Government health expenditure plays an important role in guaranteeing people's livelihood and in improving the quality of human capital, and it also plays an important role in affecting economic development. In order to characterize the specific trend of government health spending affecting economic growth, and analyze the impact difference in different regions, this paper uses a non-parametric additive model to analyze the impact of government health expenditure on economic development and regional development differences based on three aspects: linear, non-linear and comprehensive effects. From the perspective of linear effects, the results show that the proportion of government health expenditure to GDP nationwide and in the western regions has a positive impact on economic development, while the impact in the eastern and central regions is negative. From the perspective of non-linear effects, in the national and in the eastern, central and western regions, the proportion of government health expenditure to GDP has a significant non-linear impact on economic development. From the perspective of comprehensive effects, the proportion of government health expenditure to GDP has a significant non-linear positive effect on economic development nationwide and in all regions. In addition, the proportion of fixed assets investment to GDP, the proportion of exports to GDP, and the proportion of residents' income to GDP promote non-linear effects to different extents of non-linear promotion, but there are slight differences in different regions. Based on estimation results, the paper recommends that the government further expands the proportion of government health expenditure in GDP, promotes investment in fixed assets, stimulates exports in the eastern region, and continues to implement the western support policy.
政府卫生支出在保障民生和提高人力资本质量方面发挥着重要作用,同时也对经济发展起着重要的影响作用。为了刻画政府卫生支出对经济增长的具体影响趋势,并分析不同地区的影响差异,本文利用非参数可加模型,从线性、非线性和综合效应三个方面,分析了政府卫生支出对经济发展及地区发展差异的影响。从线性效应角度来看,结果表明全国及西部地区政府卫生支出占 GDP 的比例对经济发展具有正向影响,而东部和中部地区的影响为负。从非线性效应角度来看,在全国以及东部、中部和西部地区,政府卫生支出占 GDP 的比例对经济发展具有显著的非线性影响。从综合效应角度来看,政府卫生支出占 GDP 的比例对全国及各地区的经济发展具有显著的非线性正向影响。此外,固定资产投资占 GDP 的比例、出口占 GDP 的比例和居民收入占 GDP 的比例在不同程度上促进了非线性效应的非线性促进,但在不同地区存在细微差异。基于估计结果,本文建议政府进一步扩大政府卫生支出占 GDP 的比例,促进固定资产投资,刺激东部地区出口,并继续实施西部支持政策。