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信息驱动意识对多重网络上传染病传播的影响。

Effects of the information-driven awareness on epidemic spreading on multiplex networks.

机构信息

School of Computer Science and Engineering, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu 611731, China.

School of Information and Communication Engineering, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu 611731, China.

出版信息

Chaos. 2022 Jul;32(7):073123. doi: 10.1063/5.0092031.

Abstract

In this study, we examine the impact of information-driven awareness on the spread of an epidemic from the perspective of resource allocation by comprehensively considering a series of realistic scenarios. A coupled awareness-resource-epidemic model on top of multiplex networks is proposed, and a Microscopic Markov Chain Approach is adopted to study the complex interplay among the processes. Through theoretical analysis, the infection density of the epidemic is predicted precisely, and an approximate epidemic threshold is derived. Combining both numerical calculations and extensive Monte Carlo simulations, the following conclusions are obtained. First, during a pandemic, the more active the resource support between individuals, the more effectively the disease can be controlled; that is, there is a smaller infection density and a larger epidemic threshold. Second, the disease can be better suppressed when individuals with small degrees are preferentially protected. In addition, there is a critical parameter of contact preference at which the effectiveness of disease control is the worst. Third, the inter-layer degree correlation has a "double-edged sword" effect on spreading dynamics. In other words, when there is a relatively lower infection rate, the epidemic threshold can be raised by increasing the positive correlation. By contrast, the infection density can be reduced by increasing the negative correlation. Finally, the infection density decreases when raising the relative weight of the global information, which indicates that global information about the epidemic state is more efficient for disease control than local information.

摘要

在这项研究中,我们从资源分配的角度综合考虑了一系列现实场景,研究了信息驱动的意识对传染病传播的影响。我们提出了一种基于多重网络的意识-资源-传染病模型,并采用微观马尔可夫链方法研究了这些过程之间的复杂相互作用。通过理论分析,我们准确地预测了传染病的感染密度,并推导出了一个近似的传染病阈值。结合数值计算和广泛的蒙特卡罗模拟,我们得出以下结论。首先,在大流行期间,个体之间资源支持越活跃,疾病控制效果越好,即感染密度越小,传染病阈值越大。其次,优先保护度小的个体可以更好地抑制疾病。此外,在接触偏好的临界参数处,疾病控制效果最差。第三,层间度相关性对传播动力学具有“双刃剑”的影响。换句话说,当感染率较低时,通过增加正相关性可以提高传染病阈值。相比之下,通过增加负相关性可以降低感染密度。最后,当提高全局信息的相对权重时,感染密度会降低,这表明关于传染病状态的全局信息比局部信息更有利于疾病控制。

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