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佐治亚州疾病控制与预防中心社会脆弱性指数与热相关健康结果的空间探索

Spatial exploration of the CDC's Social Vulnerability Index and heat-related health outcomes in Georgia.

作者信息

Lehnert Erica Adams, Wilt Grete, Flanagan Barry, Hallisey Elaine

机构信息

Geospatial Research, Analysis and Services Program, Division of Toxicology and Human Health Sciences, ATSDR, 4770 Buford Hwy NE, Mailstop S106-5, Atlanta, GA, 30341-3717, USA.

出版信息

Int J Disaster Risk Reduct. 2020 Jun;46. doi: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101517.

Abstract

Heat-related illness, an environmental exposure-related outcome commonly treated in U.S. hospital emergency departments (ED), is likely to rise with increased incidence of heat events related to climate change. Few studies demonstrate the spatial and statistical relationship of social vulnerability and heat-related health outcomes. We explore relationships of Georgia county-level heat-related ED visits and mortality rates (2002-2008), with CDC's Social Vulnerability Index (CDC SVI). Bivariate Moran's I analysis revealed significant clustering of high SVI rank and high heat-related ED visit rates (0.211, p < 0.001) and high smoothed mortality rates (0.210, < 0.001). Regression revealed that for each 10% increase in SVI ranking, ED visit rates significantly increased by a factor of 1.18 (95% CI = 1.17-1.19), and mortality rates significantly increased by a factor of 1.31 (95% CI = 1.16-1.47). CDC SVI values are spatially linked and significantly associated with heat-related ED visit, and mortality rates in Georgia.

摘要

与热相关的疾病是一种在美国医院急诊科常见的与环境暴露相关的病症,随着与气候变化相关的高温事件发生率增加,其发病几率可能会上升。很少有研究表明社会脆弱性与热相关健康结果之间的空间和统计关系。我们探讨了佐治亚州县一级与热相关的急诊就诊率和死亡率(2002 - 2008年)与美国疾病控制与预防中心社会脆弱性指数(CDC SVI)之间的关系。双变量莫兰指数分析显示,高SVI排名与高热相关急诊就诊率(0.211,p < 0.001)以及高平滑死亡率(0.210,p < 0.001)存在显著聚类。回归分析表明,SVI排名每增加10%,急诊就诊率显著增加1.18倍(95%置信区间 = 1.17 - 1.19),死亡率显著增加1.31倍(95%置信区间 = 1.16 - 1.47)。CDC SVI值在空间上相互关联,并且与佐治亚州与热相关的急诊就诊率和死亡率显著相关。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d683/9345528/6114f4083976/nihms-1604641-f0001.jpg

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