College of Environmental Studies, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, China.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022 Aug 1;19(15):9412. doi: 10.3390/ijerph19159412.
At present, landslide susceptibility assessment (LSA) based on the characteristics of landslides in different areas is an effective prevention measure for landslide management. In Enshi County, China, the landslides are mainly triggered by high-intensity rainfall, which causes a large number of casualties and economic losses every year. In order to effectively control the landslide occurrence in Enshi County and mitigate the damages caused by the landslide. In this study, eight indicators were selected as assessment indicators for LSA in Enshi County. The analytic hierarchy process (AHP) model, information value (IV) model and analytic hierarchy process-information value (AHP-IV) model were, respectively, applied to assess the landslide distribution of landslides in the rainy season (RS) and non-rainy season (NRS). Based on the three models, the study area was classified into five levels of landslide susceptibility, including very high susceptibility, high susceptibility, medium susceptibility, low susceptibility, and very low susceptibility. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was applied to verify the model accuracy. The results showed that the AHP-IV model (ROC = 0.7716) was more suitable in RS, and the IV model (ROC = 0.8237) was the most appropriate model in NRS. Finally, combined with the results of landslide susceptibility in RS and NRS, an integrated landslide susceptibility map was proposed, involving year-round high susceptibility, RS high susceptibility, NRS high susceptibility and year-round low susceptibility. The integrated landslide susceptibility results provide a more detailed division in terms of the different time periods in a year, which is beneficial for the government to efficiently allocate landslide management funds and propose effective landslide management strategies. Additionally, the focused arrangement of monitoring works in landslide-prone areas enable collect landslide information efficiently, which is helpful for the subsequent landslide preventive management.
目前,基于不同地区滑坡特征的滑坡易发性评价(LSA)是滑坡管理的一种有效预防措施。在中国恩施县,滑坡主要是由高强度降雨引发的,每年都会造成大量人员伤亡和经济损失。为了有效控制恩施县的滑坡发生,减轻滑坡造成的破坏。在本研究中,选择了八个指标作为恩施县 LSA 的评价指标。分别应用层次分析法(AHP)模型、信息值(IV)模型和层次分析法-信息值(AHP-IV)模型对雨季(RS)和非雨季(NRS)的滑坡分布进行评价。基于这三个模型,将研究区域划分为五个滑坡易发性等级,包括高易发性、高易发性、中易发性、低易发性和极低易发性。应用接收者操作特征(ROC)曲线验证模型精度。结果表明,AHP-IV 模型(ROC=0.7716)在 RS 中更适用,IV 模型(ROC=0.8237)在 NRS 中最适用。最后,结合 RS 和 NRS 滑坡易发性的结果,提出了一个综合的滑坡易发性图,包括全年高易发性、RS 高易发性、NRS 高易发性和全年低易发性。综合滑坡易发性结果在一年的不同时期进行了更详细的划分,有利于政府高效分配滑坡管理资金,提出有效的滑坡管理策略。此外,在滑坡易发区集中安排监测工作,可以有效地收集滑坡信息,有助于后续的滑坡预防管理。