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散户交易会破坏金融市场的稳定吗?围绕新冠疫情的一项调查。

Do retail traders destabilize financial markets? An investigation surrounding the COVID-19 pandemic.

作者信息

Baig Ahmed S, Blau Benjamin M, Butt Hassan A, Yasin Awaid

机构信息

Department of Finance, College of Business and Economics, Boise State University, Boise, ID 83725, United States.

Department of Economics and Finance, Jon M. Huntsman School of Business, Utah State University, Logan, UT 84322, United States.

出版信息

J Bank Financ. 2022 Nov;144:106627. doi: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2022.106627. Epub 2022 Jul 30.

DOI:10.1016/j.jbankfin.2022.106627
PMID:35959423
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9355410/
Abstract

Existing research suggests that retail trading is associated with volatility in financial markets. To extend the literature, we study the dynamic effects of retail trading on volatility during the COVID-19 pandemic. Using marketable retail trades identified from the Boehmer et al. (2021) algorithm and novel empirical methods discussed in Jordá (2005), we document a negative, persistent impact of retail trading on the stability of stock prices that is particularly stronger during the pandemic than during the pre-pandemic period. These results highlight how periods of crises - like the pandemic - affect the destabilizing influence of retail trading. To provide additional evidence, we replicate our empirical exercise during the 2008-09 financial crisis. Consistent with the COVID-19 period, we again find that retail trading leads to more volatility during the financial crisis vis-á-vis the pre-crisis period. These results again support the idea that periods of crises strengthen the link between retail trading and volatility.

摘要

现有研究表明,散户交易与金融市场的波动性相关。为了拓展相关文献,我们研究了新冠疫情期间散户交易对波动性的动态影响。利用从 Boehmer 等人(2021 年)算法中识别出的可交易散户交易以及 Jordá(2005 年)中讨论的新实证方法,我们记录了散户交易对股价稳定性产生的负面且持续的影响,这种影响在疫情期间比疫情前时期尤为强烈。这些结果凸显了像疫情这样的危机时期如何影响散户交易的破坏稳定作用。为了提供更多证据,我们在 2008 - 2009 年金融危机期间重复了我们的实证分析。与新冠疫情时期一致,我们再次发现,与危机前时期相比,散户交易在金融危机期间导致了更多的波动性。这些结果再次支持了危机时期会加强散户交易与波动性之间联系这一观点。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1467/9355410/2164f65d8a48/gr12_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1467/9355410/78b8089ab6dd/gr1_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1467/9355410/e2a1db24030c/gr2_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1467/9355410/40ab3bbd489f/gr3_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1467/9355410/3a3cb78cf4db/gr4_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1467/9355410/bcfffafd93b8/gr5_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1467/9355410/f44f16c7def1/gr6_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1467/9355410/6c6a46a93f82/gr7_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1467/9355410/0231e3d7f12b/gr8_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1467/9355410/132804feeee1/gr9_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1467/9355410/31e1213e3ff9/gr10_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1467/9355410/a164a9b596c7/gr11_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1467/9355410/2164f65d8a48/gr12_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1467/9355410/78b8089ab6dd/gr1_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1467/9355410/e2a1db24030c/gr2_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1467/9355410/40ab3bbd489f/gr3_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1467/9355410/3a3cb78cf4db/gr4_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1467/9355410/bcfffafd93b8/gr5_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1467/9355410/f44f16c7def1/gr6_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1467/9355410/6c6a46a93f82/gr7_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1467/9355410/0231e3d7f12b/gr8_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1467/9355410/132804feeee1/gr9_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1467/9355410/31e1213e3ff9/gr10_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1467/9355410/a164a9b596c7/gr11_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1467/9355410/2164f65d8a48/gr12_lrg.jpg

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本文引用的文献

1
COVID-19, volatility dynamics, and sentiment trading.新冠病毒疾病、波动动态与情绪交易。
J Bank Financ. 2021 Dec;133:106162. doi: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2021.106162. Epub 2021 May 1.
2
Deaths, panic, lockdowns and US equity markets: The case of COVID-19 pandemic.死亡、恐慌、封锁与美国股票市场:以新冠疫情为例。
Financ Res Lett. 2021 Jan;38:101701. doi: 10.1016/j.frl.2020.101701. Epub 2020 Jul 25.
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COVID-19 and the United States financial markets' volatility.新冠疫情与美国金融市场的波动。
Financ Res Lett. 2021 Jan;38:101699. doi: 10.1016/j.frl.2020.101699. Epub 2020 Jul 25.
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COVID-19 and the march 2020 stock market crash. Evidence from S&P1500.2019冠状病毒病与2020年3月股市崩盘。标准普尔1500指数的证据。
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