Zhang Su, Ouyang Tong, Wei Shou-Yu, Liang Bei-Bei, Zhu Jia-Ming
Department of Physical Education, Anhui University of Finance and Economics, Bengbu, China.
School of Finance, Anhui University of Finance and Economics, Bengbu, China.
Front Psychol. 2022 Jul 27;13:925909. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2022.925909. eCollection 2022.
From the 2008 Beijing Olympic Games to the 2022 Beijing Winter Olympics, the sustainable development of competitive sports has become more and more popular in China. Therefore, for the sustainable development of China's competitive sports, first, the logical relationship of "pressure-state-response" is adopted to select the index system, covering the elements of the economy, society, policy, and so on. Principal component analysis and entropy weight method are used to construct the comprehensive evaluation model of the sustainable development of competitive sports. Second, through the coupling coordination method to study the coordinated development of China's competitive sports and economic society, and then from the perspective of the obstacle factor diagnosis method to determine the obstacles to the sustainable development of China's competitive sports system. Finally, the DEA model is used to predict the development level of competitive sports in China's provinces in the next 10-20 years. The research shows that the overall development level of competitive sports in China is good, but there are certain differences among different regions. Meanwhile, from the forecast results, the development level of competitive sports in Hainan, Shanxi, Anhui, Jiangxi, Inner Mongolia, Gansu, and Ningxia may be greatly improved in the future. Based on the above research conclusions, this study puts forward some suggestions to give full play to the joint and synergistic development effect among different regions, reasonably draw lessons from the advanced experience of competitive sports development at home and abroad, and scientifically construct the comprehensive development system of competitive sports. At the same time, the research of this study provides some reference value for the sustainable development of China's competitive sports and the coordinated development of China's competitive sports and economic society.
从2008年北京奥运会到2022年北京冬奥会,竞技体育可持续发展在中国越来越受到重视。因此,为了中国竞技体育的可持续发展,首先,采用“压力—状态—响应”逻辑关系选取指标体系,涵盖经济、社会、政策等要素。运用主成分分析法和熵权法构建竞技体育可持续发展综合评价模型。其次,通过耦合协调度方法研究中国竞技体育与经济社会的协调发展情况,再从障碍因素诊断法的角度确定中国竞技体育系统可持续发展的障碍因素。最后,运用DEA模型对未来10-20年中国各省竞技体育发展水平进行预测。研究表明,中国竞技体育整体发展水平良好,但不同地区存在一定差异。同时,从预测结果来看,海南、山西、安徽、江西、内蒙古、甘肃和宁夏等地区竞技体育未来发展水平可能会有较大提升。基于以上研究结论,本研究提出了一些建议,以充分发挥不同地区之间的联合协同发展效应,合理借鉴国内外竞技体育发展的先进经验,科学构建竞技体育综合发展体系。同时,本研究为中国竞技体育的可持续发展以及中国竞技体育与经济社会的协调发展提供了一定的参考价值。