Zhang Jing, Gan Jing-Ru, Wu Ying, Liu Jia-Bao, Zhang Su, Shao Bin
School of Physical Education and Training, Shanghai University of Sport, Shanghai, China.
Faculty of Physical Education, Shanghai International Studies University, Shanghai, China.
Front Psychol. 2022 Feb 4;12:763501. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2021.763501. eCollection 2021.
In order to fully implement the new development concept, bring into full play the potential of sports development, and maintain the resilience of China's sports development. This paper studies the resilience evaluation and spatial correlation of Chinese sports development under the new development concept. First, we constructed Resilience Evaluation Indexes System for Sports Development in China based on the analysis of the resilience features of sports development and the DPSIR model, which is from the five aspects of "driving force - pressure - state - influence - response." Second, used Coefficient of Variation and Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to an Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) Method to measure the resilience level of sports development in 31 provinces in China from 2013 to 2017. Then, we introduced the obstacle degree model to identify the obstacle factors that hinder the resilience of Chinese sports development in different periods. Finally, we used the global and local Moran indexes to analyze the spatial correlation of China sports regional development. The results showed that: (1) overall, the development level of sports resilience in 31 provinces in China showed an upward trend from 2013 to 2017, while some provinces showed obvious fluctuations. (2) The obstacles to the development of sports resilience in China mainly include sports scientific research equipment, the number of national fitness monitoring stations, the number of national fitness centers, the full-time equivalent of (R&D) personnel, and the number of sports scientific research projects. The response subsystem is the main obstacle factor that affects the improvement of the resilience level of sports development in China. (3) There is a positive spatial autocorrelation between the resilience level of sports development and regional spatial distribution, and the correlation shows a weakening trend, and the internal difference is significant. Finally, we concluded that we must take the new development philosophy as the guiding principle. First, we should stick to innovation-driven development to fully upgrade the resilience of China's sports development. Second, we should adhere to the principle of coordinated development to promote the overall and balanced development of sports. Lastly, we should promote shared development so as to deliver benefits for all in an equal way.
为全面贯彻新发展理念,充分发挥体育发展潜力,保持我国体育发展韧性,本文研究新发展理念下我国体育发展的韧性评价与空间相关性。首先,在分析体育发展韧性特征并借鉴DPSIR模型的基础上,构建了我国体育发展韧性评价指标体系,该体系从“驱动力—压力—状态—影响—响应”五个方面展开。其次,运用变异系数法和逼近理想解排序法(TOPSIS法)测度了2013—2017年我国31个省份体育发展的韧性水平。然后,引入障碍度模型识别不同时期阻碍我国体育发展韧性的障碍因素。最后,利用全局和局部莫兰指数分析我国体育区域发展的空间相关性。研究结果表明:(1)总体而言,2013—2017年我国31个省份体育韧性发展水平呈上升趋势,但部分省份出现明显波动。(2)我国体育韧性发展的障碍主要包括体育科研设备、全民健身监测站点数量、全民健身中心数量、(研发)人员全时当量以及体育科研项目数量。响应子系统是影响我国体育发展韧性水平提升的主要障碍因素。(3)体育发展韧性水平与区域空间分布之间存在正向空间自相关性,且相关性呈减弱趋势,内部差异显著。最后得出结论,必须以新发展理念为指导,一是坚持创新驱动发展,全面提升我国体育发展韧性;二是坚持协调发展原则,促进体育全面、均衡发展;三是推动共享发展以便让所有人平等受益。