Swiss Federal Institute of Sport Magglingen, Department of Elite Sport, Magglingen, Switzerland.
German Sport University Cologne, Department of Intervention Research in Exercise Training, Cologne, Germany.
J Sports Sci. 2022 Jul;40(14):1641-1647. doi: 10.1080/02640414.2022.2099077. Epub 2022 Aug 15.
The fact that potentially skilled, but biologically later-maturing athletes are less likely to be selected into talent development programmes (TDP) can represent a failure of Talent Identification (TID) in sports. To overcome maturation selection biases, maturation independent TID should be established to include less mature, but talented athletes in TDP more frequently. Using a randomised parallel-group design, this study aimed to evaluate the effect of labelling under-11 (U) Swiss male youth football players ( = 24, age = 11.0 ± 0.3 years) via maturation-ordered shirt numbers during rank assessment by talent scouts ( = 83, scout experience = 4.8 ± 2.4 years). Following observation of video recorded selection tournaments, player-labelling "informed" scouts were significantly more likely to rank less mature players higher on their player potential, (81) = 2.57, = .012, = -0.6, 95% CI [-1.00, -0.13], than "uninformed" scouts. As altered rankings assisted less mature players, player-labelling may offer a practical and feasible strategy to improve TID by removing possible maturation selection biases. To address maturation selection biases and the potential positive impact of player-labelling more broadly, further research on both male and female athletes in various age categories and sports contexts is recommended.
事实上，具有潜力但生物成熟较晚的运动员不太可能被选入人才发展计划（TDP），这可能代表着体育领域的人才识别（TID）失败。为了克服成熟度选择偏差，应该建立独立于成熟度的 TID，以便更频繁地将不成熟但有天赋的运动员纳入 TDP。本研究采用随机平行组设计，旨在通过在由球探进行的等级评估中，为 11 岁以下（U）瑞士男青年足球运动员（n=24，年龄=11.0±0.3 岁）分配按照成熟度顺序排列的球衣号码，来评估对他们进行标记的效果（n=83，球探经验=4.8±2.4 年）。在观察完录像选拔赛后，球员标记“知情”的球探更有可能根据球员潜力将不太成熟的球员排名更高，(81)=2.57, p=.012, d=-0.6, 95%CI[-1.00, -0.13]，比“不知情”的球探更有可能。由于改变后的排名对不太成熟的球员有利，球员标记可能提供了一种实用且可行的策略，通过消除可能的成熟度选择偏差来改善 TID。为了解决成熟度选择偏差以及球员标记更广泛的潜在积极影响，建议在各个年龄组和体育背景下对男性和女性运动员进行进一步研究。
