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拉格罗亚环礁,法属波利尼西亚:内部迁移作为一种相关且可行的适应策略。

Internal relocation as a relevant and feasible adaptation strategy in Rangiroa Atoll, French Polynesia.

机构信息

UMR LIENSs 7266, La Rochelle University-CNRS, 2 rue Olympe de Gouges, 17000, La Rochelle, France.

Institute for Sustainable Development and International Relations, 27 rue Saint-Guillaume, Sciences Po, 750005, Paris, France.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2022 Aug 19;12(1):14183. doi: 10.1038/s41598-022-18109-8.

Abstract

Atoll islands face increasing coastal risks (coastal erosion and marine flooding) due to climate change, especially sea-level rise. To face increasing coastal risks, various adaptation options are considered by atoll countries and territories, including in particular hard protection (preferred option to date), Nature-based Solutions (increasingly used) and island raising (considered a longer-term solution and a potential alternative to international migration, e.g. in the Maldives). Internal relocation within the same atoll island or atoll, which refers to long-term community movement from one threatened island area or island to a safer island area or island, has previously been disregarded by scholars as a potentially relevant climate adaptation strategy. However, in low-lying coastal areas, it offers real potential to address the dual context of increasing climate risks and the shrinking of the solution space. This paper assesses the potential of internal relocation for atolls by applying to Rangiroa Atoll, French Polynesia, Central Pacific, a two-fold assessment framework questioning its physical relevance (are some islands high enough to host settlements in the future?) and its societal feasibility (are the political-institutional and socio-economic conditions in place? Are people willing to relocate?). The findings show that internal relocation is both relevant and feasible on Rangiroa Atoll and should therefore serve as a pillar to develop robust in situ adaptation pathways in this atoll.

摘要

环礁岛由于气候变化,尤其是海平面上升,面临着越来越多的沿海风险(沿海侵蚀和海洋洪水)。为了应对不断增加的沿海风险,环礁国家和地区考虑了各种适应选项,包括硬保护(迄今为止的首选方案)、基于自然的解决方案(越来越多地被使用)和岛屿提升(被认为是一种长期解决方案,也是国际移民的潜在替代方案,例如在马尔代夫)。在同一环礁岛或环礁内进行内部迁移,是指长期从一个受威胁的岛屿地区或岛屿向一个更安全的岛屿地区或岛屿迁移,此前学者们忽略了它作为一种潜在相关的气候适应策略。然而,在地势较低的沿海地区,它为应对不断增加的气候风险和解决方案空间缩小的双重背景提供了真正的潜力。本文通过对太平洋中部法属波利尼西亚的拉尼罗阿环礁应用一种双重评估框架,评估了内部迁移对环礁的潜力,该框架质疑其物理相关性(有些岛屿是否足够高,可以在未来容纳定居点?)和社会可行性(政治制度和社会经济条件是否具备?人们是否愿意迁移?)。研究结果表明,在拉尼罗阿环礁内部迁移具有相关性和可行性,因此应成为发展该环礁中强大的就地适应途径的支柱。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f355/9391457/4b6eda7eb417/41598_2022_18109_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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