Department of International Relations, São Paulo State University (UNESP), Franca, Brazil.
Department of Public Policy, Central European University (CEU), Vienna, Austria.
Int J Public Health. 2022 Aug 5;67:1604663. doi: 10.3389/ijph.2022.1604663. eCollection 2022.
This paper quantitatively explores determinants of governments' non-pharmaceutical policy responses to the COVID-19 pandemic. Our focus is on the extent to which geographic mobility affected the stringency of governmental policy responses. Using cross-country, daily frequency data on geographic mobility and COVID-19 policy stringency during 2020, we investigate some of the determinants of policy responses to COVID-19. In order to causally identify the effect of geographic mobility on policy stringency, we pursue an instrumental variable strategy that exploits climate data to identify arguably exogenous variation in geographic mobility. We find that societies that are more geographically mobile have governmental policy responses that are less stringent. Examining disaggregated mobility data, we show that the negative relation between geographic mobility and policy stringency is the stronger for commercially-oriented movements than for geographic movements that relate to civil society. The results suggest that policy-makers are more willing to trade-off public health for economic concerns relative to other civil concerns.
本文定量探讨了各国政府对 COVID-19 大流行的非药物政策反应的决定因素。我们关注的是地理流动性在多大程度上影响政府政策反应的严格程度。本研究使用了 2020 年各国每日地理流动性和 COVID-19 政策严格程度的跨境数据,调查了 COVID-19 政策反应的一些决定因素。为了从因果关系上确定地理流动性对政策严格程度的影响,我们采用了一种工具变量策略,利用气候数据来确定地理流动性的可说是外生变化。我们发现,地理流动性较大的社会的政府政策反应较为宽松。通过考察细分的流动性数据,我们表明,商业导向的流动与政策严格程度之间的负相关关系比与公民社会有关的地理流动更为强烈。研究结果表明,与其他公民关切相比,政策制定者更愿意为经济关切而牺牲公共卫生。