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儿童发育迟缓及其后续教育成果:来自南非纵向研究的边际结构模型分析。

Childhood stunting and subsequent educational outcomes: a marginal structural model analysis from a South African longitudinal study.

机构信息

Department of Statistics, University of Ilorin, Ilorin, Nigeria.

College of Law and Management Studies, University of KwaZulu-Natal, 4000Durban, South Africa.

出版信息

Public Health Nutr. 2022 Nov;25(11):3016-3024. doi: 10.1017/S1368980022001823. Epub 2022 Aug 26.

DOI:10.1017/S1368980022001823
PMID:36008100
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9991553/
Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To examine the association between childhood stunting and grade completion (as educational outcome) in South Africa.

DESIGN

Longitudinal study. Data were obtained using the National Income Dynamics Study over five waves (2008 to 2017). Children were tracked at wave 1 in 2008 until wave 5 in 2017 to determine their total years of schooling. We controlled for time-variant and time-varying confounding with a marginal structural model to estimate the associations between childhood stunting and subsequent grade completion.

SETTING

Nationally representative study of South African households.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 2629 children aged 2 and 3 years in 2008.

RESULTS

We observed a substantial decrease in the prevalence of stunting between wave 1 (28·2 %) and wave 4 (8·6 %). Our marginal structural model results suggest that childhood stunting was significantly associated with decreased odds (22 % less likely) of grade completion (OR = 0·78; 95 % CI: 0·40, 0·86; = 0·015), while those who were only stunted during early childhood had a 29 % reduction in the odds of grade completion (OR = 0·71; 95 % CI: 0·51, 0·82; = 0·020).

CONCLUSION

These findings underscore the fact that stunting is a significant predictor of academic achievement, whose effects might be long-lasting.

摘要

目的

探讨南非儿童发育迟缓与学业完成(作为教育成果)之间的关联。

设计

纵向研究。数据来自国家收入动态研究(2008 年至 2017 年)的五个波次。在 2008 年的第 1 波次中对儿童进行追踪,直到 2017 年的第 5 波次,以确定他们的总受教育年限。我们使用边缘结构模型来控制时变和时变混杂因素,以估计儿童发育迟缓与随后的年级完成之间的关联。

设置

南非家庭的全国代表性研究。

参与者

共有 2629 名 2 岁和 3 岁的儿童,于 2008 年参加第 1 波次调查。

结果

我们观察到第 1 波次(28.2%)和第 4 波次(8.6%)之间发育迟缓的患病率大幅下降。我们的边缘结构模型结果表明,儿童发育迟缓与年级完成的几率降低显著相关(几率降低 22%,OR=0.78;95%CI:0.40,0.86; = 0.015),而那些仅在幼儿期发育迟缓的儿童,其年级完成的几率降低了 29%(OR=0.71;95%CI:0.51,0.82; = 0.020)。

结论

这些发现强调了发育迟缓是学业成绩的一个重要预测因素,其影响可能是持久的。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9d11/9991553/9ad15bb4288a/S1368980022001823_fig2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9d11/9991553/b2a72deeb94b/S1368980022001823_fig1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9d11/9991553/9ad15bb4288a/S1368980022001823_fig2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9d11/9991553/b2a72deeb94b/S1368980022001823_fig1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9d11/9991553/9ad15bb4288a/S1368980022001823_fig2.jpg

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