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教育和生活方式因素对中年到老年无残疾预期寿命的影响:一项多队列研究。

The Impact of Education and Lifestyle Factors on Disability-Free Life Expectancy From Mid-Life to Older Age: A Multi-Cohort Study.

机构信息

The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney and Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, NSW, Australia.

Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, United Kingdom.

出版信息

Int J Public Health. 2022 Aug 12;67:1605045. doi: 10.3389/ijph.2022.1605045. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

Low education and unhealthy lifestyle factors such as obesity, smoking, and no exercise are modifiable risk factors for disability and premature mortality. We aimed to estimate the individual and joint impact of these factors on disability-free life expectancy (DFLE) and total life expectancy (TLE). Data ( = 22,304) were from two birth cohorts (1921-26 and 1946-51) of the Australian Longitudinal Study on Women's Health and linked National Death Index between 1996 and 2016. Discrete-time multi-state Markov models were used to assess the impact on DFLE and TLE. Compared to the most favourable combination of education and lifestyle factors, the least favourable combination (low education, obesity, current/past smoker, and no exercise) was associated with a loss of 5.0 years TLE, 95% confidence interval (95%CI): 3.2-6.8 and 6.4 years DFLE (95%CI: 4.8-7.8) at age 70 in the 1921-26 cohort. Corresponding losses in the 1946-51 cohort almost doubled (TLE: 11.0 years and DFLE: 13.0 years). Individual or co-ocurrance of lifestyle risk factors were associated with a significant loss of DFLE, with a greater loss in low-educated women and those in the 1946-51 cohort.

摘要

受教育程度低和不健康的生活方式因素,如肥胖、吸烟和缺乏锻炼,是导致残疾和过早死亡的可改变风险因素。我们旨在评估这些因素对无残疾预期寿命(DFLE)和总预期寿命(TLE)的个体和联合影响。数据(n=22304)来自澳大利亚妇女健康纵向研究的两个队列(1921-26 年和 1946-51 年),以及 1996 年至 2016 年期间的国家死亡指数。使用离散时间多状态马尔可夫模型来评估对 DFLE 和 TLE 的影响。与教育和生活方式因素最有利的组合相比,最不利的组合(受教育程度低、肥胖、当前/过去吸烟者、不锻炼)与 70 岁时 TLE 减少 5.0 年相关,95%置信区间(95%CI)为 3.2-6.8 年,DFLE 减少 6.4 年(95%CI:4.8-7.8 年)在 1921-26 队列中。1946-51 队列中相应的损失几乎翻了一番(TLE:11.0 年,DFLE:13.0 年)。生活方式风险因素的个体或共同发生与 DFLE 的显著损失相关,在受教育程度较低的女性和 1946-51 队列中的女性中损失更大。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/37dd/9421499/35eb3151a4ee/ijph-67-1605045-g001.jpg

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