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信息通信技术扩散和外国直接投资对撒哈拉以南非洲包容性增长的协同效应。

Synergy effects of ICT diffusion and foreign direct investment on inclusive growth in Sub-Saharan Africa.

机构信息

School of Economics and Finance, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, China.

Department of Economics and Development Studies, Federal University, Gashua, Yobe State, Nigeria.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Jan;30(4):9428-9444. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-22689-3. Epub 2022 Sep 3.

Abstract

The present study critically examines the synergy effect of information communication technology (ICT) diffusion and foreign direct investment (FDI) on inclusive growth in Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries using a modified system-generalized method of moments (GMM) model based on panel data covering the period 2005-2020. This study differs significantly from the previous studies in four ways: (i) this study uses a more comprehensive measure of ICT by computing a composite ICT index, which takes into account several ICT indicators; (ii) some existing study uses a narrow proxy of inclusive growth using the Gini index as a proxy, while others consider three patterns of economic growth dynamics (GDP growth, real, and per capita GDP). For robust analysis, we computed a composite inclusive growth index that takes into account several shared growth indicators; (iii) our model captures the heterogeneity effect of the interaction term of FDI and ICT diffusions on two groups of SSA countries, unlike the previous studies that estimated the joint impact of FDI and ICT on the whole group of countries; (iv) we contribute to the extant studies by determining the threshold level at which ICT diffusion may determine the effect of FDI on inclusive growth. Overall, empirical results show that the positive effect of FDI on inclusive growth could intensify when ICT diffusion is beyond a given threshold level, while inflation and vulnerable unemployment deteriorate inclusive growth, among others. We are of the opinion that ICTs should engage to cushion present and future environmental threats/natural catastrophes through improving geographical monitoring and concerted reaction coupled with other policy recommendations paying special attention to Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) fifteen (15)-inclusive growth.

摘要

本研究利用基于面板数据的修正系统广义矩(GMM)模型,在 2005-2020 年期间考察了信息通信技术(ICT)扩散和外国直接投资(FDI)对撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA)国家包容性增长的协同效应。本研究与以往研究在以下四个方面存在显著差异:(i)本研究通过计算综合 ICT 指数来衡量更全面的 ICT,该指数考虑了几个 ICT 指标;(ii)一些现有研究使用基尼指数作为包容性增长的狭义代理指标,而其他研究则考虑了三种经济增长动态模式(GDP 增长、实际增长和人均 GDP)。为了进行稳健分析,我们计算了一个综合包容性增长指数,该指数考虑了几个共享增长指标;(iii)我们的模型捕捉了 FDI 和 ICT 扩散相互作用项对两组 SSA 国家的异质性影响,而以往的研究则估计了 FDI 和 ICT 对整个国家群体的联合影响;(iv)我们通过确定 ICT 扩散可能决定 FDI 对包容性增长的影响的阈值水平,为现有研究做出了贡献。总体而言,实证结果表明,当 ICT 扩散超过给定的阈值水平时,FDI 对包容性增长的积极影响可能会加剧,而通货膨胀和脆弱性失业等因素则会恶化包容性增长。我们认为,应该通过提高地理监测和协调反应能力,并结合其他政策建议,利用信息通信技术来应对当前和未来的环境威胁/自然灾害,特别要关注可持续发展目标(SDG)十五——包容性增长。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/167a/9440315/319d317d73a0/11356_2022_22689_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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