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畜产品国际贸易隐含排放的时空格局及网络特征。

The spatiotemporal patterns and network characteristics of emissions embodied in the international trade of livestock products.

机构信息

College of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, China; College of Geography and Environmental Science, Northwest Normal University, Lanzhou, 730070, China.

College of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, China.

出版信息

J Environ Manage. 2022 Nov 15;322:116128. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.116128. Epub 2022 Sep 5.

Abstract

Livestock production is greenhouse gas (GHG) emission intensive, and thus the increasing international trade of livestock products in recent decades has resulted in increased embodied emissions. Considering the varying emission intensity in production in different countries and the expected further increase in livestock product trade in the future, it becomes crucial to understand the spatial and temporal dynamics of such embodied GHG emissions for climate change mitigation in the livestock sector. In this study, we aimed to address such gaps and analyzed the spatiotemporal patterns and network characteristics of GHG emissions embodied in the international trade of seven major categories of livestock products among 228 world economies during 1986-2017. The results showed that the total volume of GHG emissions embodied in livestock product trade reached 92.0 MT in 2017, accounting for 2.6% of the total emissions from livestock production. Sheep meat has replaced cattle meat as the major contributor to embodied emissions. In 2017, the largest flows of embodied emissions were within Europe, followed by the flows from Oceania to Asia. The fluxes in intra-upper middle and intra-high-income economies accounted for most of the total embodied emissions. Although the global average emission intensity of livestock production declined in these four decades, the trade flows from high to low emission intensity economies increased, especially for cattle and sheep meat. This resulted in an overall increase of contribution from the global livestock trade in GHG emissions from the global livestock sector. Therefore, effective measures and policies must be designed from both consumption and production perspectives to ensure proper accounting of these embodied emissions and maximize the reduction potential for a sustainable food system transition.

摘要

畜牧业生产温室气体(GHG)排放密集,因此近几十年来畜牧业产品国际贸易的增长导致了排放的增加。考虑到不同国家生产中的排放强度的差异以及未来畜牧业产品贸易的预期增长,了解这些畜牧业产品国际贸易中隐含的温室气体排放的时空动态对于畜牧业部门的气候变化缓解至关重要。在这项研究中,我们旨在解决这些差距,并分析了 1986 年至 2017 年间 228 个世界经济体之间七种主要类别畜牧业产品国际贸易中隐含 GHG 排放的时空格局和网络特征。结果表明,2017 年畜牧业产品贸易中隐含 GHG 排放量总量达到 920 百万吨,占畜牧业生产总排放量的 2.6%。羊肉已取代牛肉成为隐含排放的主要贡献者。2017 年,欧洲内部的隐含排放量最大,其次是大洋洲向亚洲的排放量。中上收入和高收入经济体内部的通量占总隐含排放量的大部分。尽管这四个十年中畜牧业生产的全球平均排放强度有所下降,但高排放强度经济体向低排放强度经济体的贸易流量增加,尤其是牛肉和羊肉。这导致全球畜牧业贸易对全球畜牧业部门温室气体排放的贡献总体上有所增加。因此,必须从消费和生产两个角度设计有效的措施和政策,以确保对这些隐含排放进行适当核算,并最大限度地挖掘可持续食品系统转型的减排潜力。

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