Key Laboratory of Urban Environment and Health, Institute of Urban Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xiamen, 361021, China.
University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100049, China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Jan;30(4):10256-10271. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-22668-8. Epub 2022 Sep 7.
County is the center of China's socio-economic development and the key node for urban-rural integration. Also, the county is an important carrier for promoting urban and rural green development. Improving green and low-carbon development capabilities and formulating county-level low-carbon standards will play a significant role in promoting China's new people-oriented urbanization and rural revitalization. Although there have been extensive studies on low-carbon benchmarks, over half of the benchmarks tend to ignore the development stage of the evaluated region and its needs. When the region's economy reaches a certain level, constraints from low-carbon targets may limit the local development process. This study firstly allocated county carbon intensity reduction targets (CIRT) by considering the differences in county carbon reduction capacity and responsibility. Secondly, a dynamic benchmark system of per capita carbon emissions (PCCE) in counties in China is constructed. Finally, we took Changxing County in Zhejiang Province as a research case to verify the dynamic benchmark of PCCE. According to the carbon intensity target reduction rate (CITRR), China's counties can be divided into three categories: low carbon emissions reduction capability-responsible counties (L-CERCRC), medium carbon emissions reduction capability-responsible counties (M-CERCRC), and high carbon emissions reduction capability-responsible counties (H-CERCRC). The results show that (1) due to the national CO emission reduction target in 2030, the carbon intensity will be 60% lower than in 2005, the CITRR for China's 1510 counties range from 8.36 to 137.83%; the average CITRR is 48.40%. (2) Changxing County's CITRR is 57.71%, which belongs to the H-CERCRC. The PCCE of Changxing County will be much higher than the benchmark when the carbon peak is reached in the future. (3) For reaching the aiming benchmark, Changxing County is suggested to adjust its relevant influencing factors of PCCE for converting local's PCCE reaching to the benchmark within a certain time period. The dynamic benchmark system for PCCE in China's counties established in this study is economically sensitive, which not only takes the differences of counties into account, but also meets the needs of counties' diverse development form stages. This system provides counties a few coordinated directions which can improve the local's economic development and reduce greenhouse gas (GHGs) emissions through the development progress.
县是中国社会经济发展的中心,也是城乡融合的关键节点。此外,县是促进城乡绿色发展的重要载体。提高绿色低碳发展能力,制定县级低碳标准,将对促进中国新以人为本的新型城镇化和乡村振兴发挥重要作用。尽管低碳基准已经有了广泛的研究,但超过一半的基准往往忽略了被评估地区的发展阶段及其需求。当该地区经济达到一定水平时,低碳目标的限制可能会限制当地的发展进程。本研究首先考虑到县碳减排能力和责任的差异,分配了县碳强度减排目标(CIRT)。其次,构建了中国县级人均碳排放(PCCE)的动态基准体系。最后,我们以浙江省长兴县为例,验证了 PCCE 的动态基准。根据碳强度目标减排率(CITRR),中国的县可分为三类:低碳减排能力责任县(L-CERCRC)、中碳减排能力责任县(M-CERCRC)和高碳减排能力责任县(H-CERCRC)。结果表明:(1)由于 2030 年国家 CO 减排目标,碳强度将比 2005 年降低 60%,中国 1510 个县的 CITRR 范围在 8.36%至 137.83%之间;平均 CITRR 为 48.40%。(2)长兴县的 CITRR 为 57.71%,属于 H-CERCRC。未来碳峰值时,长兴县的 PCCE 将远高于基准。(3)为了达到目标基准,长兴县建议调整相关影响因素的 PCCE,以便在一定时间内将本地的 PCCE 转换为基准。本研究建立的中国县级 PCCE 动态基准体系经济敏感,既考虑了各县的差异,又满足了各县不同发展阶段的需求。该体系为各县提供了一些协调方向,可以通过发展进程提高当地的经济发展和减少温室气体(GHGs)排放。