Identification of the collagen family as prognostic biomarkers in papillary thyroid carcinoma.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to construct a collagen-related prognostic model for thyroid cancer and to investigate prognostic value of collagen family genes for thyroid cancer.

METHODS

A LASSO Cox regression model for thyroid cancer was developed based on the expression profiles of collagen-related genes. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was performed for high and low risk groups. The ROC method was used to assess its predictive performance. Predictive independence was verified by multivariate Cox regression analysis. The relationship between this feature and immune cell infiltration was analyzed by tumor microenvironment. COL18A1 was validated by immunohistochemistry and RT-PCR in thyroid cancer tissues. The effect of COL18A1 on cell proliferation, migration and invasion ability of tumor cells were further valuated by CCK-8 assay and transwell assay. The effect of COL18A1 on the immune escape ability of tumor cells was further valuated by cytotoxicity assays.

RESULTS

A model including 4 collagen family genes was developed to predict thyroid cancer prognosis. Patients with high-risk score had a poorer prognosis than those with low-risk scores for 1-, 2-, 3-, and 5- year survival. The model independently predicted prognosis after adjusting for other prognostic factors. A nomogram combining risk score and age was constructed with high sensitivity and specificity. This feature was significantly associated with immune cell infiltration. COL18A1 was aberrantly over-expressed in thyroid cancer compared with control tissues and significantly increased proliferative capacity, migration capacity, invasion capacity, and immune escape ability of tumor cells.

CONCLUSION

Our findings establish a signature associated with collagen family genes that can be a promising tool to predict the prognosis of thyroid cancer. High COL18A1 expression significantly correlates with the poor prognosis of patients and enhances the immune escape ability of tumor cells.