School of Transportation Engineering, Shandong Jianzhu University, Jinan 250101, China.
Beijing Key Laboratory of Traffic Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China.
Accid Anal Prev. 2022 Nov;177:106825. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2022.106825. Epub 2022 Sep 6.
Due to urban construction, engineering transport vehicles are gradually increased on roads, which might speed up traffic accident risks. To investigate the influence of urban construction on traffic accidents, this paper adopted 1977 traffic accidents of engineering transport vehicles and 220 engineering construction projects for correlation analysis. First, considering three degrees (Major, Ordinary and Minor) of accidents, the spatial autocorrelation test of engineering transport vehicle accidents is carried out by using spatial econometric. Then to further evaluate and analyze the spatial regression model, the optimal model is selected to analyze the spatial influence of the floor area of different types of engineering construction projects on the accidents of engineering transport vehicles. The results show that the accident of engineering transport vehicles itself is spatially dependent, that is, the higher the severity of the accident, the more concentrated it is in space, and there is a significant spatial positive correlation with engineering construction projects. And the floor areas of synthetic land, residential land, commercial land and land for roads and transportation facilities have significant spatial effects on engineering transport vehicle accidents, and the indirect effects are also concerned. The increase of floor area of roads and transportation facilities is more likely to induce accidents of engineering transport vehicles. For every 10,000 square meters of the floor area of roads and transportation facilities, there are 12.66 accidents of engineering transport vehicles in the region and its neighboring areas.
由于城市建设,道路上的工程运输车辆逐渐增多,这可能会加速交通事故的风险。为了研究城市建设对交通事故的影响,本文采用了 1977 起工程运输车辆交通事故和 220 个工程建设项目进行相关分析。首先,考虑到事故的三个等级(重大、一般和轻微),通过空间计量经济学对工程运输车辆事故进行空间自相关检验。然后,为了进一步评估和分析空间回归模型,选择最优模型来分析不同类型工程建设项目的建筑面积对工程运输车辆事故的空间影响。结果表明,工程运输车辆本身的事故具有空间依赖性,即事故的严重程度越高,其在空间上的集中程度越高,与工程建设项目之间存在显著的空间正相关关系。综合用地、居住用地、商业用地和道路及交通设施用地的建筑面积对工程运输车辆事故具有显著的空间效应,并且还关注间接效应。道路和交通设施建筑面积的增加更容易引发工程运输车辆事故。在区域及其周边地区,每增加 10000 平方米的道路和交通设施建筑面积,就会发生 12.66 起工程运输车辆事故。