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游客动态风险感知的识别——以西藏地区为例

Identification of tourists' dynamic risk perception-the situation in Tibet.

作者信息

Feng Yuyao, Li Guowen, Sun Xiaolei, Li Jianping

机构信息

School of Economics and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.

School of Management Science and Engineering, Central University of Finance and Economics, Beijing, China.

出版信息

Humanit Soc Sci Commun. 2022;9(1):312. doi: 10.1057/s41599-022-01335-w. Epub 2022 Sep 15.

Abstract

This paper proposes an identification framework for dynamic risk perception with "Questions & Answers (Q&As) + travel notes", which newly attends to the dynamic nature of risk perception and overcomes the liabilities of traditional data collection methods, such as questionnaires and interviews, which induce high costs in data acquisition, tend to produce small sample sizes and suffer from large sample deviations. Via 2627 Q&As released by tourists before travel and 17,523 travel notes released by tourists after travel, the dynamic change in 20 identified risks before and after travel to Tibet is portrayed with the help of text mining technologies, which can automatically identify risk perception types and sentiment tendencies from massive amounts of textual data. The study finds that before travel, tourists usually underestimate risks related to safety, health and time but overestimate risks related to transportation, route selection and season. The results of the study are not only informative for destination tourism risk management and image promotion but also important for tourists to form more reasonable risk assessments.

摘要

本文提出了一个基于“问答(Q&A)+旅行笔记”的动态风险感知识别框架,该框架重新关注了风险感知的动态性质,并克服了传统数据收集方法(如问卷调查和访谈)的弊端,这些传统方法在数据获取方面成本高昂,往往产生小样本量且存在较大的样本偏差。通过游客旅行前发布的2627个问答以及旅行后发布的17523篇旅行笔记,借助文本挖掘技术描绘了前往西藏旅行前后20种已识别风险的动态变化,文本挖掘技术能够从大量文本数据中自动识别风险感知类型和情感倾向。研究发现,旅行前,游客通常低估与安全、健康和时间相关的风险,但高估与交通、路线选择和季节相关的风险。该研究结果不仅对目的地旅游风险管理和形象推广具有参考价值,对游客形成更合理的风险评估也很重要。

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